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우크라이나 위기와 미국 - 러시아 관계 : 대외정체성 대립의 장기화
강봉구(Bong Koo, Kang) 한국슬라브유라시아학회 2015 슬라브학보 Vol.30 No.3
This paper, approaching US-Russia conflict and clashes over the Ukraine crisis from the perspective of identity confrontation, aims to make up for the explanatory restriction embedded in neo-realist or geopolitical approach and make argument that the confrontation of international identities between US and Russia is likely to last long. On the bottom of US-Russia conflict lies clashes of two irreconcilable positions: while Washington has regarded Putinite Russia consolidated with sovereign democracy discourse as a challenger to the liberalist world order and the West-led international norms, Moscow has thought that Washington has an intention to weaken Russia or at least Putinism, which has sought its unique values and development model different from those of the Atlantic world, and has taken counter-measures against it. With Ukraine crisis, in particular, as two parties have become confident in their belief, distrust and alienation with each other have been deepened. The international identity confrontation between US and Russia seems likely to last long due to the three factors as follows: the difficulty of reorientation by Russia of sovereign democracy and non-Western international identity, Washington’s position of not allowing Russian exceptionalism, and the changing configuration of global power relations relating to rising China.
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러시아와 이란의 전략적 제휴?: 시리아 내전 개입의 의도를 중심으로
강봉구 ( Kang Bong-koo ) 서울대학교 러시아연구소 2016 러시아연구 Vol.26 No.2
Most of the studies on the closer partnership between Russia and Iran in Syrian civil war have argued that it is “a temporary partnership or a cooperation of necessity” and “limited and situational.” Studies standing on the opposite side have criticized that the prevailing interpretations have ignored the two countries` shared geopolitical interest in the Middle East including Syrian affairs, a conservative position on modern international norms, and complementary economic ties between themselves. On the analyses of Moscow`s and Tehran`s intentions in military intervention in Syrian civil war, this paper argues that differently from the previous experiences, Russia-Iran relations are unlikely to worsen in line with Moscow`s improvement or intention of improvement in relations with the West, and expects the strategic alignment of Russia and Iran is likely to continue for the foreseeable future. The main driving forces are that two nations` geo-strategic calculations in global and regional politics and particularly their geopolitical interest on al-Assad`s regime in Syria have been similar, and they have mostly shared values(authoritarianism and the conservative perspective on the main interstate norms) and non-Western identity.
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중앙아시아 페르가나지역 안보와 급진 이슬람주의: 해방당의 특성을 중심으로
강봉구 ( Bong Koo Kang ) 서울대학교 러시아연구소 2014 러시아연구 Vol.24 No.2
This paper is aiming at analysing the extent of threat by Hizb ut-Tahrir al Islami (HT) to political regimes and states in Ferghana Valley, presenting components of threat as follows: capacity of spreading ideology; position to using violence; and the probability of linking with internal and external militant Islamic organization. HT has too serious limitations to enlighten people and to expand its sphere of influence under the secular religious practice and the harsh repression by local governments. As HT thinks that it doesn’t succeed to culture muslim civil society with genuine Islam spirit, it will continue to pursue unarmed and non-violent policy course for political struggle. As far as HT holds fast to the dogmatic attitude to its ideology and policy, and the exclusive position against those of other organizations, it will not be likely to bring about serious threat to the security of Ferghana Valley through the association with other Islamist organizations. However, if three governments in Ferghana Valley are not successful in dealing with the problems of economic growth and distribution, and if they can’t improve welfare and social inequalities, and if bureaucrats’ corruption and arbitrariness keep flourishing, then persuasive power and influence of HT will grow steadily.
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