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중국 정부 지원정책이 신에너지 자동차산업 발전에 미치는 영향
조현준,Sun Shiran 한국동북아경제학회 2020 동북아경제연구 Vol.32 No.3
This paper, using a panel data regression model, empirically analyzes the impact of Chinese governmental support policies on the NEV (new energy vehicle) industry. In the model, government’s support and subsidies are divided into supply-side and demand-side ones, and the panel data used are several financial indicators of major NEV manufacturers (listed companies) and NEV acquisition tax reduction rates during the period 2007-2017, finally examined and evaluated are the effects of the support policy and its effectiveness. In the regression analysis, operating cost, revenue and profit are set as dependent variables; and set as independent variables are indicators of the financial status of the sample firms, indicators of support to the firms (financial aid, tax reductions, tax refunds, etc.), and indicators of subsidies for consumption (acquisition tax reductions). As a result of the analysis, the demand-side tax cut showed a significant positive correlation with the operating profit of electric vehicle battery manufacturers, but no significant correlation with the NEV finished car makers. On the other hand, the supply-side support policy showed a significant positive correlation with operating profitability of both NEV finished car makers and electric vehicle battery manufacturers. However, the supply-side support policy was also found to partially increase operating costs. This may suggest that companies need to improve production efficiency and/or R&D efficiency, and the rate of increase in consumption demand does not reach the rate of increase in the companies’ production and R&D input.
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