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Pandemics and Economic Complexity: A Cross-Country Analysis
Nguyen Dinh Trung,Duong Kim Thanh,Phung Huong Thi Thu,Ha Mai Quynh 한국국제경제학회 2024 International Economic Journal Vol.38 No.1
This paper is the first attempt to empirically examine the impact of pandemics on economic complexity in a cross-country setting. We employ a unique and recently developed measure of pandemic intensity, which is the World Pandemic Discussion Index. Using panel-corrected standard error regressions on a panel dataset of 90 countries from 1996 to 2019, we find that an increase in pandemic discussion could reduce economic complexity. Further heterogeneity tests show that this detrimental effect of pandemics only occurs in emerging and low-income countries, or in countries with low levels of institutional quality. By using mechanism analysis,wealso find that pandemics reduce economic complexity via deteriorating the quality of human capital. These findings are robust to a comprehensive battery of robustness and sensitivity checks. Overall, our paper could provide valuable implications for policy makers in devising measures to support the economic recovery process post-pandemics.
Hoang, Van Minh,Le, Hong Chung,Kim, Bao Giang,Duong, Minh Duc,Nguyen, Duc Hinh,Vu, Quynh Mai,Nguyen, Manh Cuong,Pham, Duc Manh,Ha, Anh Duc,Yang, Jui-Chen Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention 2016 Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention Vol.17 No.no.sup1
Two years after implementation of the graphic health warning intervention in Vietnam, it is very important to evaluate the intervention's potential impact. The objective of this paper was to predict effects of graphic health warnings on cigarette packages, particularly in reducing cigarette demand and smoking-associated deaths in Vietnam. In this study, a discrete choice experiment (DCE) method was used to evaluate the potential impact of graphic tobacco health warnings on smoking demand. To predict the impact of GHWs on reducing premature deaths associated with smoking, we constructed different static models. We adapted the method developed by University of Toronto, Canada and found that GHWs had statistically significant impact on reducing cigarette demand (up to 10.1% through images of lung damage), resulting in an overall decrease of smoking prevalence in Vietnam. We also found that between 428,417- 646,098 premature deaths would be prevented as a result of the GHW intervention. The potential impact of the GHW labels on reducing premature smoking-associated deaths in Vietnam were shown to be stronger among lower socio-economic groups.