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        Determinants of Real Interest Rates: The Case of Jordan Long-Fei

        Moh’d Mahmoud Ajlouni 한국유통과학회 2018 The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Busine Vol.5 No.4

        The study is aimed at investigating the main factors that affect the interest rate yields, in the long-term. In addition, the study surveys the theories and literature relating to the determinants of interest rate. The importance of which is essential not only for governments, but also for banks and corporate financial risk management decisions, including risk exposures in banks and capital markets. Interest rate influences corporate profit as well as growth. For this purpose, the study examines the impact of budget deficit, risk-free rate, capital inflows, money supply and business cycles on real interest rate in Jordan. These factors are based upon well-established theories and straightforward practical view as interest rate determinants. Using data for (1990-2015), the study employed Johansen’s co-integrating test, which takes into consideration the long-term unsynchronized relationships. The data is tested for normality, symmetric correlations, covariance diagonal and unit root. The results show that the government budget deficit, short-term risk-free interest rate, capital inflows, money supply and business cycle are long-term determinants of the real interest rate in Jordan. The coefficients of government budget deficit, short-term risk-free rate, money supply and business cycle all are inversely affecting the real interest rate, while capital inflows has a positive impact on the real interest rate.

      • The Impact of Global Financial Crisis 2008 on Amman Stock Exchange

        Moh'd Mahmoud Ajlouni,Wafaa Mehyaoui,Waleed Hmedat 한국유통과학회 2012 KODISA ICBE (International Conference on Business Vol.2012 No.-

        The effect of the September 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) weighed heavily on stock markets around the world. The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the impact of the (GFC) on Amman Stock Exchange (ASE). Event study methodology has been adopted on a period of 24 months (January 2008-December 2009). Monthly average abnormal returns across a sample of 52 industrial and services companies have been tested separately. The results reveal that the ASE experienced significant negative abnormal returns in the fourth quarter of the year 2008. However, there were no significant abnormal returns observed thereafter. This means that the ASE managed to overcome its adverse consequences. Since the event study tests for market efficiency, as well, the results show that ASE reaction is consistent with the semi-strong form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH).

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        The Impact of Global Financial Crisis 2008 on Amman Stock Exchange

        Moh'd Mahmoud Ajlouni,Wafaa Mehyaoui,Waleed Hmedat 한국유통과학회 2012 유통과학연구 Vol.10 No.7

        The effect of the September 2008 global financial crisis weighed heavily on stock markets around the world. The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the impact of the crisis on Amman Stock Exchange. Event study methodology has been adopted on a period of 24 months, from January 2008 to December 2009. Monthly average abnormal returns across a sample of 52 industrial and services companies have been tested separately. The results reveal that Amman Stock Exchange experienced significant negative abnormal returns in the fourth quarter of the year 2008. However, there were no significant abnormal returns observed thereafter. This means that Amman Stock Exchange managed to overcome its adverse consequences. Since the event study tests for market efficiency, as well, the results show that Amman Stock Exchange reaction is consistent with the semistrong form of the efficient market hypothesis.

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