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When are Capital Controls Effective? Evidence from Malaysia and Thailand
Juthathip Jongwanich,이종화 한국국제경제학회 2011 International Economic Journal Vol.25 No.4
This study examines the impact of capital controls using monthly information to construct higher-frequency, quarterly indexes for Malaysia and Thailand over the period 2000–2010 in a Vector Auto-Regression (VAR) model. The results show that effectiveness of a capital control policy is not identical between Malaysia and Thailand. This could result from country-specific factors, the form of capital controls as well as degree of efficacy, which vary greatly between these two countries. Restrictions in Thailand have no significant effect on inflows but are especially effective for outflows, particularly foreign direct investment. In Malaysia, capital relaxation tends to have a significant impact on inward foreign direct investment and portfolio inflows. However, the results show that changes in capital account policies do not have a significant impact on the real exchange rate in both Malaysia and Thailand.
The Trade Effect of Non-tariff Measures in a Comprehensive Trade Agreement
Hayakawa Kazunobu,Jongwanich Juthathip,Kohpaiboon Archanun 한국국제경제학회 2024 International Economic Journal Vol.38 No.1
The aim of this study is to quantify the trade effects of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), which is considered to be a comprehensive trade agreement. To this end, we estimate the gravity equation for worldwide trade and introduce applied tariffs into this equation to differentiate between the trade effects of tariff reduction and non-tariff measure (NTM) changes. Our gravity equation results indicate that the trade effect of NTM changes under the CPTPP is insignificant on average and negative for most products. We also estimate the gravity equation for foreign direct investment (FDI) and find some evidence that the CPTPP increased FDI by a statistically significant amount. Thus, the NTM changes in the CPTPP may increase FDI, rather than trade, among member countries.