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Does Natural Disasters Have an Impact on Poverty in East Java, Indonesia?
Dwi Budi SANTOSO(Dwi Budi SANTOSO ),Dynda Fadhlillah AULIA(Dynda Fadhlillah AULIA ) 한국유통과학회 2023 The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Busine Vol.10 No.1
There is a strong association between poverty levels and the probability of natural disasters. East Java, however, exhibits a distinct pattern. While the rate of poverty is declining, natural disasters are becoming more severe. Considering that East Java is an area with a high risk of natural disasters and a high poverty rate, this study aims to estimate the effect of environmental preservation and the magnitude of the impact of disasters as measured by the Disaster Risk Index (IRBI) on poverty. The 3SLS model is used on secondary data from 38 districts/cities from 2015 to 2021 as an analytical database. Based on the estimation results, there are 3 findings in this study: (i) the role of government, population development, and economic activity have a strong influence on nature conservation; (ii) nature conservation has a strong influence on disaster risk; and (iii) the disaster risk index has a strong effect on poverty. As a result, areas with a high level of disaster risk have a slower rate of poverty reduction. The role of this research is to show the need for the government’s role in improving the quality of natural disaster mitigation anticipation, economic activity, and the role of the population in a sustainable manner.
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The Effect of Industrial Agglomeration on Economic Growth in East Java, Indonesia
Arief Tri HARDJOKO,Dwi Budi SANTOSO,Agus SUMAN,Rachmad Kresna SAKTI 한국유통과학회 2021 The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Busine Vol.8 No.10
Industrial agglomeration policy is a strategy that is expected to accelerate economic growth to transform an impoverished region into a prosperous one. However, industrial agglomeration also has the potential to exacerbate development inequality due to the concentration of economic development activities in certain areas. Therefore, this study aims to investigate what strategies are best to minimize the adverse effects of industrial agglomeration. This study uses econometric analysis with panel data covering 38 districts/cities in East Java during the 2011–2019 period. The results showed that the combination of industrial agglomeration policies coupled with accelerated sectoral growth, hard infrastructure development, and soft infrastructure provided the best policy outcome, improving regional inequality and accelerating economic growth in East Java. Based on the analysis, we find that East Java’s economic growth characteristics are convergent but relatively long. Therefore, the East Java economic development policy during 2010–2019 should be reviewed due to the relatively long convergence period. Furthermore, this study also found that industrial agglomeration slows down the convergence and economic growth of East Java. In the future, the deployment of Industrial Development Centers (PPI) outside the existing eight districts/cities is needed to accelerate the spread of economic activity in East Java.
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