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        Testosterone Recovery after Androgen Deprivation Therapy in Prostate Cancer: Building a Predictive Model

        Borque-Fernando Ángel,Estrada-Domínguez Fernando,Esteban Luis Mariano,Gil-Sanz María Jesús,Sanz Gerardo 대한남성과학회 2023 The World Journal of Men's Health Vol.41 No.1

        Purpose: To analyze the variability, associated actors, and the design of nomograms for individualized testosterone recovery after cessation of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). Materials and Methods: A longitudinal study was carried out with 208 patients in the period 2003 to 2019. Castrated and normogonadic testosterone levels were defined as 0.5 and 3.5 ng/mL, respectively. The cumulative incidence curve described the recovery of testosterone. Univariate and multivariate analyzes were performed to predict testosterone recovery with can-didate prognostic factors prostate-specific antigen at diagnosis, clinical stage, Gleason score from biopsy, age at cessation of ADT, duration of ADT, primary therapy and use of LHRH (luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone) agonists. Results: The median follow-up duration in the study was 80 months (interquartile range, 49–99 mo). Twenty-five percent and 81% of patients did not recover the castrate and normogonadic levels, respectively. Duration of ADT and age at ADT ces-sation were significant predictors of testosterone recovery. We built two nomograms for testosterone recovery at 12, 24, 36, and 60 months. The castration recovery model had good calibration. The C-index was 0.677, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) of 0.736, 0.783, 0.782, and 0.780 at 12, 24, 36, and 60 months, respectively. The normogonadic recovery model overestimated the higher values of probability of recovery. The C index was 0.683, with AUC values of 0.812, 0.711, 0.708 and 0.693 at 12, 24, 36, and 60 months, respectively. Conclusions: Depending on the age of the patient and the length of treatment, clinicians may stop ADT and the castrated tes-tosterone level will be maintained or, if the course of treatment has been short, we can estimate if it will return to normogo-nadic levels.

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