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      • KCI등재

        실물옵션을 이용한 사과재배농가의 투자 및 퇴출임계점 분석

        서상택,우수곤 한국농업경제학회 2007 農業經濟硏究 Vol.48 No.2

        A real options approach is used to analyze the entry and exit thresholds of apple production in Korean agriculture. The real options model is set up for simultaneous decision making to determine the entry and exit thresholds. For the analysis, some farmers who had experiences in apple production project conducted by the Rural Development Administration or who were engaged in apple production in Kyungbuk province were surveyed. The results show that the entry threshold is higher than the average apple price farmers are receiving from the market and the exit threshold is very low so that the apple farmers once invested are not willing to leave apple production. The sensitivity analysis shows that each parameter used in the analysis affects the entry and exit thresholds and operating cost and investment cost among parameters used may be chosen as policy instruments to facilitate or delay investment in apple production.

      • KCI등재

        농장맞춤형 기상재해 조기경보서비스의 재해피해 경감효과 측정

        서상택,정윤희,김수진,심교문 한국농림기상학회 2023 한국농림기상학회지 Vol.25 No.3

        본 연구는 조기경보서비스의 전국단위 확대를 앞두고 서비스 제공에 따른 재해피해 경감효과를 측정할 목적으로 수행되었다. 피해경감효과는 2017년∼2020년 기간 동안 조기경보서비스 제공지역의 보험작물 19종에 대해 보험실적 자료를 이용하여 측정하였다. 측정결과, 조기경보서비스는 농가의 재해피해를 예방하거나 경감시키는 효과가 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 특히, 방재시설이 구비되어 있는 경우에 재해경감효과가 더 큰 것으로 나타났다. 이상의 분석결과를 통해 얻을 수 있는 시사점은 다음과 같다. 첫째, 주관적으로 경험한 재해경감 사례를 공신력과 객관성을 갖춘 보험실적자료를 활용하여 수치적 효과로 제시함으로써 조기경보 서비스의 확대, 조기경보서비스 이용 시 보험료의 할인, 조기경보서비스 가입 촉진을 위한 홍보자료 등의 기초자료로 활용할 수 있다. 둘째, 조기경보서비스의 확대보급에 있어서 방재시설을 갖춘 지역이나 작목에 우선순위를 두는 것이 사업의 효율성과 효과성을 높이는데 도움이 될 수 있다. This study was conducted with the purpose of measuring the disaster damage reduction effect according to the provision of the early warning service ahead of the nationwide expansion. The damage reduction effect was measured using insurance data for 19 insured crops in areas that early warning services were provided during the period from 2017 to 2020. As a result of the measurement, it was analyzed that the early warning service had the effect of preventing or reducing disaster damage to farms. In particular, it was found that the disaster reduction effect was greater when disaster prevention facilities were equipped. The implications obtained from the results are as follows. First, by presenting subjectively experienced disaster reduction cases as numerical effects using insurance data with public confidence and objectivity, it can be used as basic data such as expansion of service area, discount of insurance premium with service adoption, and promotional materials for service subscription for early warning service. Second, in expanding and distributing early warning services, giving priority to areas or crops equipped with disaster prevention facilities can help increase the efficiency and effectiveness of the project.

      • KCI등재

        농업종합자금의 실태분석과 발전방향

        서상택,김준오,정대희,한두봉 한국협동조합학회 2008 韓國協同組合硏究 Vol.25 No.2

        This study aims to provide guidelines for Integrated Agricultural Policy Loans(IAPL) to meet the new agricultural policy paradigm and financial deregulation. This study evaluates the performance of IAPL based on survey data from IAPL lenders and provides guidelines for IAPL based on financial theory. The results show that IAPL has been successful compared with other policy loans and may be expanded with some supplemental efforts. The guidelines includes incentives to reward business and financial risks that differ from individual borrowers and term structure. In addition, consulting services in production, marketing, and financial management are required to better meet the policy goals and improve the efficiency of IAPL.

      • KCI등재

        농업기상재해 조기경보서비스의 전국 확대에 따른 경제적 타당성 분석

        서상택,정윤희,김수진,심교문 한국농림기상학회 2023 한국농림기상학회지 Vol.25 No.3

        본 연구는 조기경보서비스의 전국 확대에 따른 서비스 제공의 경제적 타당성을 검토하는데 목적이 있다. 분석방법으로는 비용편익분석법의 하나인 순현재가치법을 준용하였다. 순현재가치를 구성하는 편익항목으로 농작물재해보험 실적자료를 이용한 피해경감액과 농가의 조기경보서비스 이용에 따른 지불의사액을 이용하였으며, 비용항목은 시스템 구축 및 유지비용, 그리고 문자발송 비용 등을 포함하였다. 분석결과, 조기경보서비스의 전국 확대는 경제적 타당성이 있으며, 그 효과는 참여농가의 문자이용 수준(10%∼40%까지, 10%p간격)에 따라 달라지는 것으로 분석되었다. 향후, 조기경보서비스 참여농가가 증가할 경우 조기경보서비스의 경제적 효과는 더욱 커질 것으 로 예상된다. 효과적인 정보의 전달 및 활용을 위해 문자뿐만 아니라 앱이나 웹을 통한 정보전달 수단을 적극 활용함으로써 조기경보서비스의 경제적 효과를 더욱 증진시킬 필요가 있다. The purpose of this study was to examine the economic feasibility of providing services according to the nationwide expansion of early warning services. The net present value method, one of the cost-benefit analysis methods, was applied to the analysis. As a benefit item that constituted the net present value, the damage reduction amount using crop insurance data and the willingness to pay for the use of early warning services were used. The cost items included system construction and maintenance costs, and text transmission costs. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the nationwide expansion of early warning services had economic feasibility, and its economic effect varied depending on the level of text message use (10% to 40%, 10%p interval) of participating farmers. In the future, the economic effect of early warning services is expected to increase further due to the increase in the number of farmers participating in early warning services and the increase in crop damage caused by climate change. It is necessary to further enhance the economic effect of early warning services by actively utilizing information delivery means through apps or the web as well as text messages.

      • KCI등재

        농촌진흥기관의 농업회계교육 실태와 개선방안

        서상택,김성섭,정효재,이철희 한국농업경제학회 2014 農業經濟硏究 Vol.55 No.5

        This study was performed to grasp the situation of agricultural accounting education performed by rural development institutions and provide the improvement plans for educational efficiency. For the study persons in charge of agricultural accounting education in the institutions were surveyed with questionnaire including educational records and recognitions of persons in charge. Results showed that the institutions on average did not provide sufficient amount of education for farm recording or agricultural accounting system even though the institutions had sufficient hardwares for the education of agricultural accounting system. The persons in charge of education recognized the importance and necessity of farm recording and agricultural accounting education but admitted the ineffectiveness of the education. For the improvement of the education, customized learning system and follow-up management for agricultural accounting education should be considered. In addition, good lecturers, farm recording by farmers, unified control system of the institutions for agricultural accounting education, farmers' perception of the necessity of agricultural accounting system, incentives through institutionalization of the farm recording, consulting services with high quality were also needed to be seriously considered.

      • KCI등재
      • KCI등재

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