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박춘주,홍재범 한국벤처창업학회 2023 벤처창업연구 Vol.18 No.6
This study analyzes the factors affecting the survival of young start-up companies. A youth start-up company was defined as a company with a founder's age under 39. The study was based on evaluation data from 3,540 companies evaluated by the Technology Guarantee Fund to support youth start-up guarantees during the period from 2012 to 2015. In this study, independent variables were defined as founder characteristics, start-up environment, and start-up strategy, and entrepreneurship, knowledge level, and development capabilities were set as variables for start-up characteristics, competition conditions and comparative advantage with alternatives in the start-up environment, and item novelty, commercialization plan and financing plan were set as variables. For variable measurement, the evaluation index of the youth start-up evaluation model of the Technology Guarantee Fund was used. Management performance was defined as the survival of a company, and the survival of 12, 36, 60, and 84 months was measured based on the occurrence of insolvency registered by the Korea Technology Guarantee Fund. The Cox proportional risk model was used for hypothesis testing. As a result of the analysis, knowledge level and development capability were statistically significant in the characteristics of the founder, and the financing plan in the start-up strategy was statistically significant regardless of the survival period. Among the start-up strategies, the novelty of the item had a positive effect on survival after 36 months. Entrepreneurship was significant only in 12-month survival. The most important order for survival was identified in the order of financing plan, knowledge level, item novelty and development capability, of which the founder's knowledge level in the beginning and the funding plan in the second half had the greatest impact.
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박춘주(Choon Ju Park),홍재범(Jae-Bum Hong) 한국자료분석학회 2023 Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society Vol.25 No.4
본 연구는 청년창업기업의 창업 이후 생존율과 누적생존율 변화를 분석한 것이다. 청년창업기업의 창업 이후 생존율과 그 변화를 기술보증기금의 자료를 바탕으로 교차분석과 생존분석 방법인 카플란-메이어 기법을 활용하여 분석하였다. 청년창업기업의 창업자 특성으로 연령, 성별, 학력, 동종업종경험을 고려하고, 사업특성으로 기업 형태, 창업 업종, 창업지역을 고려하였다. 창업자의 특성으로 성별과 연령은 생존율에서 차이가 없었다. 학력은 고졸 이하, 전문대졸, 대졸, 대학원졸 순으로 생존율이 낮다. 누적생존율은 고졸 이하의 경우 24개월 이후 급격히 하락하며 그이후에도 높은 학력 수준에 비해 크게 하락한다. 동종업종경험에 따른 생존율은 1년 미만에서가장 낮고, 10년 이상에서 가장 높은 생존율을 보였다. 누적생존율 분석에서는 초기 12개월을 제외하고는 생존율이 일관되게 1년 미만, 10년 미만, 10년 이상 순으로 낮았다. 기업 형태는 생존율에서 통계적으로 유의한 차이가 없다. 창업 업종에서는 제조업과 정보통신보다 서비스업의 생존율이 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 누적생존율 분석에서는 36개월까지는 큰 차이가 없었으나 그이후부터 서비스업이 제조업과 정보통신보다 일관되게 높았다. 창업지역별 생존율 차이는 유의하다. 누적생존율 분석에서는 36개월 이후부터 충청이 가장 높고, 영남이 가장 낮은 추세가 일관되었다. 이를 종합해보면 창업자의 역량 중 학력과 동업종 경험이 높을수록 생존율이 높고, 사업특성에서는 창업 업종과 창업 지역이 유의한 영향을 미치는 요인이다. This study analyzes the survival rate and cumulative survival rate of young start-ups after their start-up. Based on data from the Korea Technology Finance Corporation, the survival rate and changes of young start-ups since their start-up were analyzed using Chi-square test and the Kaplan-Meier technique. Due to the characteristics of the founder, gender and age do not differ in the survival rate, so they are not significant variables. In terms of education, the survival rate is low in the order of high school or less, college, university and graduate graduates. The survival rate according to experience in the same industry was the lowest in less than 1 year and the highest in 10 years or more. There is no statistically significant difference between corporations and individuals. In the start-up industry, the survival rate of the service industry was higher than that of manufacturing and information communication. Survival rates by start-up region were the lowest in Yeongnam and the highest in Chungcheong, showing a significant difference in survival rates between regions. Taken together, the most important thing in young entrepreneurship is the founder's competency, and the higher the level of education and experience in the same industry, the higher the survival rate.
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