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Reliability of Jack-up against Punch-through using Failure State Intelligent Recognition Technique
Tao Lyu,Changhang Xu,Guoming Chen,Yipei Zhao,Qingyang Li,Tantan Zhao 대한토목학회 2019 KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering Vol.23 No.3
The preload operation of jack-up in complex multi-layered foundation requires enhanced understanding of its behaviour in punchthrough accident and suitable safety analysis tools for the assessment of their reliability for a particular site. In this study, reliability analysis model of jack-up against punch-through is established considering structural uncertainty. In order to identify the failure state, an improved reliability solution method has been developed based on Sparse Auto-Encoder (SAE) deep learning network model. Sparse self-coding algorithm is used to the training of the deep network, and Softmax regression model is established to solve the identification and classification problem of the output layer. The first application of the technique was the study of HYSY 941 jack-up platform. More specifically, numerical calculations of structure ultimate bearing capacity have been undertaken, and the influence of model parameters on the prediction accuracy of the failure state is discussed. The results show that implicit performance function can be constructed accurately using SAE-MC method by reflecting the relationship between different critical safety state and structural vulnerability. Compared with traditional BP neural network, deep learning network has higher prediction accuracy to failure probability. The dynamic risk grade in the process of preload operation can be determined quantitatively using the reliability analysis method mentioned in this paper.
Simulation and assessment of gas dispersion above sea from a subsea release: A CFD-based approach
Li, Xinhong,Chen, Guoming,Zhang, Renren,Zhu, Hongwei,Xu, Changhang The Society of Naval Architects of Korea 2019 International Journal of Naval Architecture and Oc Vol.11 No.1
This paper presents a comprehensive simulation and assessment of gas dispersion above sea from a subsea release using a Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) approach. A 3D CFD model is established to evaluate the behavior of flammable gas above sea, and a jack-up drilling platform is included to illustrate the effect of flammable gas cloud on surface vessels. The simulations include a matrix of scenarios for different surface release rates, distances between surface gas pool and offshore platform, and wind speeds. Based on the established model, the development process of flammable gas cloud above sea is predicted, and the dangerous area generated on offshore platform is assessed. Additionally, the effect of some critical factors on flammable gas dispersion behavior is analyzed. The simulations produce some useful outputs including the detailed parameters of flammable gas cloud and the dangerous area on offshore platform, which are expected to give an educational reference for conducting a prior risk assessment and contingency planning.
Simulation and assessment of gas dispersion above sea from a subsea release: A CFD-based approach
Xinhong Li,Guoming Chen,Renren Zhang,Hongwei Zhu,Changhang Xu 대한조선학회 2019 International Journal of Naval Architecture and Oc Vol.11 No.1
This paper presents a comprehensive simulation and assessment of gas dispersion above sea from a subsea release using a Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) approach. A 3D CFD model is established to evaluate the behavior of flammable gas above sea, and a jack-up drilling platform is included to illustrate the effect of flammable gas cloud on surface vessels. The simulations include a matrix of scenarios for different surface release rates, distances between surface gas pool and offshore platform, and wind speeds. Based on the established model, the development process of flammable gas cloud above sea is predicted, and the dangerous area generated on offshore platform is assessed. Additionally, the effect of some critical factors on flammable gas dispersion behavior is analyzed. The simulations produce some useful outputs including the detailed parameters of flammable gas cloud and the dangerous area on offshore platform, which are expected to give an educational reference for conducting a prior risk assessment and contingency planning.