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        From US-Soviet to US-Russian Relations: The Implications for Korea

        ( William E Odom ) 한국국방연구원 1997 The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis Vol.9 No.2

        US global engagement after WWII began in Europe in response to the Soviet political threat. With the outbreak of the war in Korea in 1950, the Soviet military threat became a reality and accelerated the implementation of the US containment strategy. As a result, a divided Korea came to be locked in a stalemate created by the Cold War. South Korea profited both economically and politically by being part of the US alliance system and a key part of the strategic equilibrium in Northeast Asia during last decade of the Cold War. With the end of the Soviet Union, that equilibrium has broken up. Achieving a new regional stability requires dealing with the region`s most urgent challenge: change on the Korean peninsula. Dealing with China is a larger but much less urgent challenge. How change in Korea works out will either leave a unified Korea without US forces and within China`s security orbit, or it will keep a unified Korea within the US security system and with US forces still present. Economically, the former outcome would be a disaster for Korea because Chinese economic and military growth are vastly overestimated. Politically, achieving the latter outcome will require Japanese and Russian as well as Chinese involvement. If it is to remain within the Western economic and security system, Korea can dispense with a US troop presence only when Japan and Korea overcome their mutual enmity and replace their bilateral ties with the United States by multilateral military ties in a single alliance.

      • SSCISCOPUSKCI등재

        The US Military in Unified Korea

        ( William O Odom ) 한국국방연구원 2000 The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis Vol.12 No.1

        The state of affairs on the Korean peninsula has shaped United States security policy in East Asia and has figured prominently in all of its global defense calculations for half a century. Today, the confrontation along the thirty-eighth parallel remains the last vestige of the Cold War that once dominated international relations. Increased globalization and the related decline of Communism augur the eventual collapse of North Korea and unification of the Korean peninsula on South Korean terms. While the timing and circumstances are impossible to predict, eventual unification is highly probable. Unification will present both the newly unified Korean state and the United States with a host of political, economic, social, and military challenges. They will range from the immediate requirement of maintaining stability and order during the transition period to the broader concerns of external security and international relations. This paper examines potential roles for us military forces in dealing with: (1) the near-term, internal challenges of integrating the two states and (2) the longer-range, regional challenges presented by the emergence of a unified and more powerful Korea. It briefly describes several unification scenarios and the conditions that will likely result from the collapse of the North. The first part of the paper will identify tasks associated with reintegration and reconstruction of the North and describe possible roles and structures for us military participation in the process. The second part of the paper will examine the changed security environment and its implications for us forces· in the region.

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