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- 저자 : ( Wai Mun Chia ) (검색결과 3 건)
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Terms-of-Trade Shocks and the Current Account
( Wai Mun Chia ),( Joseph D. Alba ) 세종대학교 경제통합연구소 (구 세종대학교 국제경제연구소) 2005 Journal of Economic Integration Vol.20 No.4
We investigate the relationship between terms-of-trade shocks and the current account of a small open economy in the presence of imperfect competition and nominal price rigidities in the nontraded sector. We show that a temporary terms-of-trade improvement results in a current account surplus since the increase in consumption of traded goods is smaller than the magnitude of terms-of-trade shock. This result is consistent with the well-known Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect. However, the effects of permanent term-of-trade shocks on current account depend mainly upon the intra- and intertemporal elasticities of substitution in consumption. When prices are perfectly flexible, permanent terms-of-trade shocks have no dynamic effects on the current account.
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ECONOMIC GROWTH AND TRANSITION: A STOCHASTIC TECHNOLOGICAL DIFFUSION MODEL
HUI-YING SNG,SHAHIDUR RAHMAN,WAI-MUN CHIA 중앙대학교 경제연구소 2009 Journal of Economic Development Vol.34 No.2
This paper constructs a stochastic growth model that anchors on technology diffusion and improvement in social infrastructure to explain the growth of developing countries. The model is based on the technological diffusion model by Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1997) with two significant extensions: the (productivity) parameter in the model which represents social infrastructure is being endogenized and probability of adverse shocks is being incorporated. The stochastic technological diffusion model is able to explain the various economic growth and transition phases of developing economies. Technology diffusion is modeled as the determinant of conditional convergence, while technological progress and economic openness further strengthen the social infrastructure bringing about absolute convergence. The model is also able to explain why some developing economies experience economic take-off while others do not.
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Xianbai Ji,Pradumna B. Rana,Wai Mun Chia,Changtai Li 대외경제정책연구원 2018 East Asian Economic Review Vol.22 No.2
Trump's withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and his "America First" trade agenda ignite a second round of interest in mega-free trade agreements in the Asia-Pacific. Countries are evaluating alternative trade policy actions in a post-TPP era. Using national real GDP gains estimated by a modified GTAP model to construct "preference ordering" for 10 Association of Southeast Asian Nations members and their six regional dialogue partners, this paper comes up with several policy-oriented findings. First, when multilateral agreements are not possible, countries are better off with a regional trading agreement than without one. Second, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership is likely to have higher beneficial impacts than the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership. Third, for dual-track countries, implementing both agreements is better than each separately. Fourth, impacts of open regionalism are likely to be higher than those of a closed and reciprocal one. Going forward, this paper argues that countries should adopt a "multi-track, multi-stage" approach to trade policy.
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