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      KCI등재 SSCI

      Investor Sentiment, Anomalies, and Macroeconomic Conditions

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A105966335

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      We examine whether the results supporting the sentiment-related overpricing story by Stambaugh, Yu, and Yuan (J. Financial Economics, v. 104, p. 288–302) are still valid after controlling for macroeconomic conditions. We no longer find the results c...

      We examine whether the results supporting the sentiment-related overpricing story by Stambaugh, Yu, and Yuan (J. Financial Economics, v. 104, p. 288–302) are still valid after controlling for macroeconomic conditions. We no longer find the results consistent with the sentiment-related overpricing story after adjusting for the effect of macroeconomic conditions. The risk factors associated with macroeconomic conditions are mostly priced, and the average return spread in the anomalies is largely accounted for by the expected return spread implied by the risk factors. Their results might be a consequence of the use of an inadequately constructed sentiment index. It is premature to argue that the returns in the anomalies are driven by investor sentiment.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 Chung, S. L., "When does investor sentiment predict stock returns?" 19 : 217-240, 2012

      2 Kim, D., "Time-varying expected momentum profits" 49 : 191-215, 2014

      3 Stambaugh, R. F., "The short of it: Investor sentiment and anomalies" 104 : 288-302, 2012

      4 Novy-Marx, R., "The other side of value: The gross profitability premium" 108 : 1-28, 2013

      5 Loughran, T., "The new issues puzzle" 50 : 23-51, 1995

      6 Brav, A., "The long-run underperformance of seasoned equity offerings revisited, Working paper" University of Chicago 1996

      7 Ritter, J. R., "The long-run performance of initial public offerings" 46 : 3-27, 1991

      8 Sibley, S. E., "The information content of the sentiment index" 62 : 164-179, 2016

      9 Kim, D., "The errors-in-variables problem in the cross-section of expected stock returns" 50 : 1605-1634, 1995

      10 Lehmann, B., "The empirical foundations of the arbitrage pricing theory" 21 : 213-254, 1988

      1 Chung, S. L., "When does investor sentiment predict stock returns?" 19 : 217-240, 2012

      2 Kim, D., "Time-varying expected momentum profits" 49 : 191-215, 2014

      3 Stambaugh, R. F., "The short of it: Investor sentiment and anomalies" 104 : 288-302, 2012

      4 Novy-Marx, R., "The other side of value: The gross profitability premium" 108 : 1-28, 2013

      5 Loughran, T., "The new issues puzzle" 50 : 23-51, 1995

      6 Brav, A., "The long-run underperformance of seasoned equity offerings revisited, Working paper" University of Chicago 1996

      7 Ritter, J. R., "The long-run performance of initial public offerings" 46 : 3-27, 1991

      8 Sibley, S. E., "The information content of the sentiment index" 62 : 164-179, 2016

      9 Kim, D., "The errors-in-variables problem in the cross-section of expected stock returns" 50 : 1605-1634, 1995

      10 Lehmann, B., "The empirical foundations of the arbitrage pricing theory" 21 : 213-254, 1988

      11 Ploberger, W., "The CUSUM-test with OLS residuals" 60 : 271-285, 1992

      12 Lin, C. F. J., "Testing the constancy of regression parameters against continuous structural change" 62 : 211-228, 1994

      13 Kr€amer, W., "Testing for structural change in dynamic models" 56 : 1335-1370, 1988

      14 Brown, R. L., "Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relations over Time" 37 : 9-163, 1975

      15 Eckbo, E., "Seasoned public offerings: Resolution of the new issues puzzle" 56 : 251-291, 2000

      16 Miller, E. M., "Risk, uncertainty, and divergence of opinion" 32 : 1151-1168, 1977

      17 Fama, E. F., "Risk, return, and equilibrium: Empirical tests" 81 : 607-636, 1973

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      19 Kumar, A., "Retail investor sentiment and return co-movements" 61 : 2451-2486, 2006

      20 Lettau, M., "Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A cross-sectional test when risk premia are time-varying" 109 : 1238-1287, 2001

      21 Cooper, I., "Real investment and risk dynamics" 101 : 182-205, 2011

      22 Fama, E. F., "Profitability, investment and average returns" 82 : 491-518, 2006

      23 Shanken, J., "On the estimation of beta-pricing models" 5 : 1-33, 1992

      24 Chordia, T., "Momentum, business cycle, and time-varying expected returns" 57 : 985-1019, 2002

      25 Daniel, K., "Market reactions to tangible and intangible information" 61 : 1605-1643, 2006

      26 Tang, D. Y., "Market conditions, default risk and credit spreads" 34 : 743-753, 2010

      27 Mitchell, M. L., "Managerial decisions and long-term stock price performance" 73 : 287-329, 2000

      28 Brav, A., "Is the abnormal return following equity issuances anomalous?" 65 : 209-249, 2000

      29 Baker, M., "Investor sentiment in the stock market" 21 : 129-152, 2007

      30 Kurov, A., "Investor sentiment and the stock market’s reaction to monetary policy" 34 : 139-149, 2010

      31 Baker, M., "Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns" 61 : 1645-1680, 2006

      32 Shen, J., "Investor sentiment and economic forces" 86 : 1-21, 2017

      33 Brown, G. W., "Investor sentiment and asset valuation" 78 : 405-440, 2005

      34 Daniel, K., "Investor psychology and security market under- and over-reactions" 53 : 1839-1886, 1998

      35 Xing, Y., "Interpreting the value effect through the Q-theory: An empirical investigation" 21 : 1767-1795, 2008

      36 Campbell, J. Y., "In search of distress risk" 63 : 2899-2939, 2008

      37 Ohlson, J. A., "Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy" 18 : 109-131, 1980

      38 Chen, N., "Economic forces and the stock market" 59 : 383-403, 1986

      39 Petkova, R., "Do the Fama–French factors proxy for innovations in predictive variables?" 61 : 581-612, 2006

      40 Sloan, R. G., "Do stock prices fully reflect information in accruals and cash flows about future earnings?" 71 : 289-315, 1996

      41 Hirshleifer, D., "Do investors overvalue firms with bloated balance sheets?" 38 : 297-331, 2004

      42 Vassalou, M., "Default risk in equity returns" 59 : 831-868, 2004

      43 Fama, E. F., "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds" 33 : 3-56, 1993

      44 Denis, D. J., "Causes of financial distress following leveraged recapitalization" 27 : 411-418, 1995

      45 Titman, S., "Capital investments and stock returns" 39 : 677-700, 2004

      46 Cooper, M. J., "Asset growth and the cross-section of stock returns" 63 : 1609-1651, 2008

      47 Khan, M., "Are accruals mispriced? Evidence from tests of an intertemporal capital asset pricing model" 45 : 55-77, 2008

      48 Stambaugh, R. F., "Arbitrage asymmetry and the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle" 70 : 1903-1948, 2015

      49 Merton, R. C., "An intertemporal capital asset pricing model" 41 : 867-887, 1973

      50 Chen, L., "An alternative three-factor model. Working paper" Washington University, University of Chicago, and University of Michigan 2011

      51 Kim, D., "Accruals quality, stock returns, and macroeconomic conditions" 85 : 937-978, 2010

      52 Kim, D., "A reexamination of firm size, book-to-market, and earnings-price in the cross-section of expected stock returns" 32 : 463-489, 1997

      53 White, H., "A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity" 48 : 817-838, 1980

      54 Fama, E. F., "A five-factor asset pricing model" 116 : 1-22, 2015

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
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      2004-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
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      학술지 인용정보

      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.6 0.35 0.51
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.52 0.51 0.716 0
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