아비에이 문제의 원인과 전망

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The Abyei Conflict, concerning all the tribal competitions, political confrontations and even armed disputes over the Abyei area, has been one of the core issues in Sudan"s war and peace. The seasonal water factor of Central Sudan naturally constituted a competitive relation between Ngok Dinka and nomadic Misseriya over cattle-grazing right in Abyei Area. Aggravated by the British administrative intervention, the conflict began to play the key role in several deadly civil wars in Sudan since independence of 1956. It also turned out to be one of the difficult issues to be agreed in peace process leading to the Comprehensive Peace Agreement(CPA) of 2005.
This tenacity of the conflict has never yielded ever since CPA was signed to be implemented in 2005. Repetitive violations of the implementation of CPA, either active or inactive, were followed by renewed pledges from both the Government of Sudan(GoS) and Government of Southern Sudan(GoSS) in the form of written agreements. Neither have boundaries been delimited nor has Abyei Referendum been held while the scale of armed fighting between the North and the South since CPA keeps escalating. The latest army operations of GoS, based upon previously learned experiences, cast a dark shadow alluding the possibility of another civil war in Sudan.
Abyei Conflict is unlike to be resolved in peaceful manner because the significance and water resources of Abyei Area reign over domestic politics in each side. Proxy war waged by tribal militias would be going to lead to another civil war that might be a full-scale armed conflict between the north and the south because it is much more intertwined to play a hinge factor with other confrontations such as in Darfur, Eastern Sudan and the rest of the Three Areas. It also brings geopolitical influence to neighboring African countries. Continuous attention and observations in the long term will be required to this conflict to bring about severe tension, war or bad peace in Sudan.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 1. 들어가는 말
• 2. 아비에이 문제의 원인
• 3. 제2차 내전 이후 아비에이 문제 해결을 위한 노력과 충돌의 악순환
• 4. 아비에이 문제에 대한 전망
• 5. 나오는 말
• References
• Abstract

참고문헌 (Reference)

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2 "조선일보"

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