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      가치프리미엄요인과 기업변동성요인의 상태변수로서의 설명력 비교 = Empirical Comparison of Value Premium Factor and Firm-volatility Premium Factor

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A87016666

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      Many papers have addressed the value premium (HML) suggested in Fama and French (1993) might proxy for the variation in investment opportunities. This paper introduces many of the implications regarding the value premium and firm-volatility premium (FTVOL) suggested in Yun, et al. (2011), and compares empirical explanation power of the two factors. The results shows that the firm-volatility premium factor has a better empirical power than value premium factor in Korea Stock Market (KOSPI), so that it may serve as an alternative portfolio instead of HML in expecting stock returns. A simple theoretical model of Savickas (2007) showed the two factors have a functional relationship and suggested the possibility of state variable in Merton`s ICAPM. Thus, from this results, we expect that the firm-volatility factor, as a ``clean`` variable in Lakonishok et al. (1994), might be a state variable in expecting stock returns.
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      Many papers have addressed the value premium (HML) suggested in Fama and French (1993) might proxy for the variation in investment opportunities. This paper introduces many of the implications regarding the value premium and firm-volatility premium (F...

      Many papers have addressed the value premium (HML) suggested in Fama and French (1993) might proxy for the variation in investment opportunities. This paper introduces many of the implications regarding the value premium and firm-volatility premium (FTVOL) suggested in Yun, et al. (2011), and compares empirical explanation power of the two factors. The results shows that the firm-volatility premium factor has a better empirical power than value premium factor in Korea Stock Market (KOSPI), so that it may serve as an alternative portfolio instead of HML in expecting stock returns. A simple theoretical model of Savickas (2007) showed the two factors have a functional relationship and suggested the possibility of state variable in Merton`s ICAPM. Thus, from this results, we expect that the firm-volatility factor, as a ``clean`` variable in Lakonishok et al. (1994), might be a state variable in expecting stock returns.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 김규영, "한국주식시장에서 기대수익률의 결정요인은 무엇인가" 1998

      2 윤상용, "한국 주식시장에서 유동성 요인을 포함한 3요인 모형의 설명력에 관한 연구" 한국재무학회 22 (22): 1-44, 2009

      3 구본열, "코스닥시장에서의 사전적 효율성 및 CAPM 검증" 한국금융공학회 9 (9): 1-29, 2010

      4 국찬표, "조건부 CAPM을 이용한 주식수익률 변화의 횡단면적 설명력" 12 (12): 147-180, 1999

      5 송영출, "자기자본비용의 추정에 관한 연구" 14 (14): 157-181, 1997

      6 조담, "위험의 시장가격의 시간가변성에 관한 실증적 연구" 15 : 25-49, 1998

      7 옥기율, "요인산출방법의 차이가 다요인모형의 설명력에 미치는 영향" 한국금융공학회 8 (8): 129-148, 2009

      8 김동철, "시장위험의 구조적 변화와 주가수익률의 결정요인에 대한 재고찰" 한국증권학회 33 (33): 95-134, 2004

      9 구본열, "소비-자본자산가격결정모형(C-CAPM)의 검증방법" 4 (4): 73-96, 2005

      10 윤상용, "기업변동성과 주식수익률의 횡단면에 관한 연구" 한국재무학회 24 (24): 91-131, 2011

      1 김규영, "한국주식시장에서 기대수익률의 결정요인은 무엇인가" 1998

      2 윤상용, "한국 주식시장에서 유동성 요인을 포함한 3요인 모형의 설명력에 관한 연구" 한국재무학회 22 (22): 1-44, 2009

      3 구본열, "코스닥시장에서의 사전적 효율성 및 CAPM 검증" 한국금융공학회 9 (9): 1-29, 2010

      4 국찬표, "조건부 CAPM을 이용한 주식수익률 변화의 횡단면적 설명력" 12 (12): 147-180, 1999

      5 송영출, "자기자본비용의 추정에 관한 연구" 14 (14): 157-181, 1997

      6 조담, "위험의 시장가격의 시간가변성에 관한 실증적 연구" 15 : 25-49, 1998

      7 옥기율, "요인산출방법의 차이가 다요인모형의 설명력에 미치는 영향" 한국금융공학회 8 (8): 129-148, 2009

      8 김동철, "시장위험의 구조적 변화와 주가수익률의 결정요인에 대한 재고찰" 한국증권학회 33 (33): 95-134, 2004

      9 구본열, "소비-자본자산가격결정모형(C-CAPM)의 검증방법" 4 (4): 73-96, 2005

      10 윤상용, "기업변동성과 주식수익률의 횡단면에 관한 연구" 한국재무학회 24 (24): 91-131, 2011

      11 Hahn, J., "Yield spreads as alternative risk factors for size and book-to-market" 41 : 245-269, 200606

      12 Lettau, M., "Why is Long-horizon Equity Less Risky? A Duration-based Explanation of the Value Premium" 62 : 55-92, 2007

      13 Campbell, J., "Understanding Risk and Return" 104 : 298-345, 1996

      14 Whitelaw, R., "Time-variations and Covariations in the Expectation and Volatility of Stock Market Returns" 49 : 515-541, 1994

      15 Savickas, R., "The Value Premium and Firm Volatility in Merton’s ICAPM" 2007

      16 Zhang, L., "The Value Premium" 60 : 67-103, 2005

      17 Lintner, J., "The Valuation of Risky Assets and the Selection of Risky Investment in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets" 47 : 13-37, 1965

      18 Friend, I., "The Demand for Risky Assets" 65 : 900-922, 1975

      19 Fama, E. F., "The Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns" 47 : 427-465, 1992

      20 Jagannathan, R., "The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-section of Expected Returns" 51 : 3-53, 1996

      21 Ross, S., "The Arbitrage Theory of Capital Asset Pricing" 13 : 341-360, 1976

      22 Fama, E. F., "Size and Book-to-market Factors in Earnings and Returns" 50 : 131-155, 1995

      23 Lintner, J., "Security Prices, Risk and Maximal Gains from Diversification" 20 : 587-615, 1965

      24 Bansal, R., "Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles" 59 : 1481-1509, 2004

      25 Fama, E. F., "Risk Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests" 71 : 607-636, 1973

      26 Abel, A. B., "Risk Premia and Term Premia in General Equilibrium" 43 : 3-33, 1999

      27 Huang, W., "Return Reversals, Idiosyncratic Risk, and Expected Returns" 14 : 147-168, 2010

      28 Lettau, M., "Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A Cross-sectional Test when Risk Premia are Time-varying" 109 : 1238-1287, 2001

      29 Keim, D., "Predicting Returns in Stock and Bond Markets" 17 : 357-390, 1986

      30 Jegadeesh, N., "Overreaction, Delayed Reaction and Contrarian Profits" 8 : 973-993, 1995

      31 Merton, R. C., "On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Explanatory Investigation" 8 : 326-361, 1980

      32 Vassalou, M., "New Related to Future GDP Growth as a Risk Factor in Equity Return" 68 : 47-73, 2003

      33 MacKinlay, A. C., "Multifactor Models do not Explain Deviations from the CAPM" 38 : 3-28, 1995

      34 Fama, E. F., "Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies, 1996" 51 : 55-84, 1996

      35 Flannery, M. J., "Macroeconomic Factors Do Influence Aggregate Stock Returns" 15 : 751-782, 2002

      36 Petkova, R., "Is Value Riskier than Grow" 78 : 187-202, 2005

      37 Guo, H., "Is Value Premium a Proxy for Time-varying Investment Opportunities: Some Time-series Evidence" 2007

      38 Sundaresan, S. M., "Intertemporally Dependent Preferences and the Volatility of Consumption and Wealth" 2 : 73-88, 1989

      39 Chen, J., "Intertemporal CAPM and the Cross-section of Stock Returns" University of Southern California 2003

      40 Campbell, J. Y., "Intertemporal Asset Pricing without Consumption Data" 83 : 487-512, 1993

      41 Constantinides, G. M., "Habit Formation: A Resolution of the Equity Premium Puzzle" 98 : 519-543, 1990

      42 Santos, "Habit Formation, the Cross-section of Stock Returns and the Cash Flow Risk Puzzle" 98 : 385-413, 2010

      43 Campbell, J., "Growth or Glamour? Fundamentals and Systematic Risk in Stock Returns" 23 : 305-344, 2009

      44 Perez-Quiros, G., "Firm Size and Cyclical Variation in Stock Returns" 55 : 1229-1262, 2000

      45 French, K. G., "Expected Stock Returns and Volatility" 19 : 3-30, 1987

      46 Kandel, S., "Expectations and Volatility of Consumption and Asset Returns" 3 : 207-232, 1999

      47 Brennan, M. J., "Estimation and Test of a Simple Model of Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing" 54 : 1553-1608, 2004

      48 Chen, N. F., "Economic Forces and the Stock Market" 59 : 383-403, 1986

      49 Spiegel, M., "Cross-sectional Variation in Stock Returns: Liquidity and Idiosyncratic Risk" Yale University 2005

      50 Lakonishok, J., "Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk" 49 : 1541-1578, 1994

      51 Lettau, M., "Consumption, Aggregate Wealth and Expected Stock Returns" 56 : 815-849, 2001

      52 Fama, E. F., "Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds" 33 : 3-56, 1993

      53 Sharpe, W., "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk" 19 : 425-442, 1964

      54 Eiling, E., "Can Nontradable Assets explin the Apparent Premium for Idiosyncdratic Risk? The Case of Industry-specific Human Capital" 2006

      55 Liew, J., "Can Book-to-market, Size, and Momentum be Risk Factors that Predict Economic Growth" 57 : 221-245, 2000

      56 Campbell. J., "By Force of Habit: A Consumption-based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior" 107 : 205-251, 1999

      57 Fama, E. F., "Business Conditions and Expected Returns on Stocks and Bonds" 25 : 23-49, 1989

      58 Campbell, J., "Bad Beta, Good Beta" 94 : 1249-1275, 2004

      59 Lucas, R. E. Jr., "Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy" 46 : 1429-1446, 1978

      60 Merton, R. C., "An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model" 41 : 867-887, 1973

      61 Breeden, D. T., "An Intertemporal Asset Pricing Model with Stochastic Consumption and Investment Opportunities" 7 : 265-296, 1979

      62 Gibbons, M. R., "A Test of the Efficiency of a Given Portfolio" 57 : 1121-1152, 1989

      63 Chochrane, J., "A Rehabilitation of Stochastic Discount Factor Methodology" 2001

      64 Berk, J. B., "A Critique of Size Related Anomalies" 8 : 275-286, 1995

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