日本政治에 있어서 野黨의 執權展望 = The Prospects of the Opposition Forces in Japanese Politics

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

It is easy to dismiss the forces of Opposition in postwar Japanese politics as something of a political irrelevance. They have failed to win a majority of seats in any election, and have never come close to doing so. The JSP had one spell in offiee as part of a coalition government during the confused and difficult years 1947 and 1948, but the party in government achieved little, and discredited itself in the eyes of the voters. Internal cohesion has been a constant problem: the JSP split five times between 1947 and 1960, and although it has maintained a precarious unity since 1960 it has come under increasingly effective challenge from other parties contesting the anti LDP vote. Now the purpose in this study is to examine the probability of opposition parties to obtain the governing power in Japanese politics.
Therefore, it should be passible to attempt an analysis of modern japanese political parties. especially, the factors of the governing conservative party and the politics of opposittion. Although opposition parties as a whole have gradually become stronger, indeed, the forces of the LDP ought not be underestimated. They have presided over a major transformation of japanese Society and of japan's world status in a long period in postwar.
The fragmentation of the opposition began in 1960 with the defection of right-wing factions from the JSP and the formation of the Demoecratic Socialist Party(DSP). Despite its moderate appeal, the DSP has never succeeded in making a major political impact, and it now appears to be in decline. The troubles of the socialist parties during the 1960s left the field open for new political forces to emerge. The first of these was Komeito, the political arm of the n대-Buddhist sect the Soka Gakkai and the seeond new force was the japan Communist party.
However, the effect of these trends upon the opposition as a whole was highly confusing, the grossly overweighted rural and semi-rural electorates remained solidly conservative. And so, the LDP(Liberal Democratic Party) was rather unlikely to lose its majority of seats under the existing system.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 序論
• Ⅱ. 與野의 對立模型
• Ⅲ. 野黨의 多黨化行態
• Ⅳ. 展望