재난안전예산 투자방향 수립을 위한 재난 및 안전사고 리스크-매트릭스 분석 = Risk-Matrix Analysis on Disasters and Accidents to Establish Investment Directions of Budgeting for Disasters and Safety Management

국문 초록 (Abstract)

각종 재난과 사고로 인한 국민의 인명과 재산피해를 경감하기 위하여 많은 국가 예산이 투입된다. 본 연구에서는 재난안전예산 투자방향 수립과 관련하여 중점투자가 필요한 고위험 피해유형을 선정하고자, 재난·사고 유형별 리스크-매트릭스 분석을 수행하였다. 재난안전사업·예산 피해유형 분류체계에 따른 유형별 최근 5년(2013-2017) 피해 통계자료를 바탕으로, (i) 재난·사고 전체, (ii) 대형재난에 대하여 각각 인명피해 및 재산피해 리스크-매트릭스 분석을 수행하였다. x축은 발생비율, y축은 그에 대한 피해를 나타내는 리스크-매트릭스를 나타내었으며, 평균값을 활용하여 4개 영역(HH, LH, HL, LL)으로 위험수준을 평가하였다. 분석결과, 풍수해와 화재·폭발은 2개 이상의 분야에서 HH로 분석되어 위험성이 가장 높은 유형으로 나타났다. 또한 폭염, 선박 재난·사고, 가축수산생물 전염병, 감염병, 사업장 산재, 도로교통 재난·사고, 안전취약계층 사고는 1개 이상의 리스크-매트릭스에서 HH를 나타내는 고위험군으로 확인되었다. 이와 같은 고위험 피해유형은 재난안전예산 중점투자를 통한 집중적인 안전관리가 필요하며, 향후 유형별 재난·사고 발생 동향 및 위험요인을 분석하여 재난안전사업 편성 등 세부 투자전략을 수립해야 한다.

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Relevant administrative ministries and agencies have set huge budgets to mitigate the damage caused by major disasters and accidents. In order to establish the direction of investments for the disaster and safety management budget, this study used risk atrix analysis to identify high-risk types of disasters and accidents that require massive investments. Using statistical data on different types of damage over the last five years (2013-2017), according to the classification of budget for disaster and safety management projects, we analyzed the risk matrix on (i) overall disasters and accidents, and (ii) large-scale disasters. The risk matrix presented the occurrence ratio for x-axis, human casualty (deaths), and property loss for y-axis, was divided into four areas (HH, LH, HL, and LL) based on the average values of disasters and accidents. Storm·flood and fire·explosion have the highest risk, which are in the HH (high likelihood-high consequence) areas of two or more risk matrices. Heat waves, maritime, animal diseases, infectious diseases, industrial, road traffic, and vulnerable groups, all of which are high-risk, belong in the HH area in each risk matrix. These high-risk types of disasters and accidents need focused investments for intensive disaster and safety management.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 1. 서 론 2. 이론적 고찰 3. 재난·사고 리스크-매트릭스 분석 4. 결 론

참고문헌 (Reference)

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2 조심정, "통계자료 활용 안전사고 위험도 분석을 통한 재난안전예산 중점투자 유형 선정" 한국방재학회 18 (18): 135-146, 2018

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