예측으로 본 1995 년까지의 패션 경향 = 패션의 행동 과학 모델을 중심으로

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Fashions are constantly subjet to change, so that forecasting trends in fashion is very difficult and the forecasting is very important. The reason is that forecasting is identifying a hot trend for the next days` business and projeting the future. The purpose of this study is to suggest the realistic forecsting theory identify fashion trends at present, further forecaste fashion trends to 1995. For this study, historical models (the historical resurrection model, the historical continuity model) and the art movement model among the behavioral science models which was suggested in 1986 by Geoge B. Sproles were selected. According to this study, <A Curve of Fashion Cycle> was exhibited. This curve was resulted from relation between 1980s fashion trends and the behavioral science models of fashion. Fashion trends to 1995 through <A Curve of Fashion Cycle> will be followings; 1. Body Conscious look as one of the characteristics of modern fashion will be continued throughout 1990`s fashion trends. 2. The attraction of Mini style was started from the middle of 1980s, recently gets near micro mini and super shorts, These are representative of the historical continuity model. 3. Mini look as revivals of `60s fashion is pulling other fashion items of the `60s in early 1990s fashion trends. This phenomenon identifies that Fashion is repetition 4. When Mini look and super shorts reach, will not progress any more. In this time, will be seen transfer of style by using classic style. That is modern classic will be appeared. also this condition is same from late 1960s to early 1970s. In view of the historical base, the action of the varieted pants will be prominent. 5. Fashion trends which passed through this process will transfer from young look to elegant look. In this time, designers will retrospect `30s and `50s fashion trends, and then will design modern feminine look. 6. Ethnic look, the fashion trend after that condition will be accelated feminine look, this look with the feminine look will reveal rich, colorful, elegance feminine image. 7. In 1980s, activity and function in clothes were demanded. The clothes which are considered these condition will be demanded continuously. 8. The variety of fashion will appear as mix mode and new coordinate look in a clothes simulataneously in fashion of `90s. And these looks will creat mixed beauty. 9. Pop art, op art, graphic art will be not only development of textile but also movement of fashion soul in 1990s. The fashion behavior will be continuously scientificated.