G2 관계 변화와 미국의 대중정책의 딜레마 = Unpredictable G2 Relations and the Dilemma of the US China Policy

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The instability and tension of the US-China relationship have recently surfaced due to the inconsistency of the US grand strategy toward the rising China in the post-Cold War era. Unlike the previous Bush administration which pursued strategic competitions, if not containment of China, President Obama attempted to establish more cooperative relationships with China. The Obama administration recognized the importance and power of China as a superpower even before officially launching its regime. However, their relations has become troublesome in the past several years. In fact, the concept of G2 was introduced by the US not only to invite China to cooperative relationships, but also to pressure China to follow international norms and take responsibility. China rejected the G2 concept implicitly as well as explicitly, since Chinese leadership suspects it as a disguised containment policy toward China. So, they repeatedly claimed that China was still a poor third world country. The two superpowers' conflictual relations have become more evident in Northeast and Southeast Asia. Although the US and China share the goal of maintaining the regional stability for now, the future is not guaranteed.

국문 초록 (Abstract)

미국은 냉전체제 붕괴 이후 20년간 새로운 질서를 모색하는 과정에서 가장 중요한 변수로 급부상한 중국에 대해 그랜드 전략을 분명하게 구축하지 못한 가운데 미중관계의 불안정성과 갈등이 표면화되고 있다. 출범전부터, 부시행정부가 추진했던 봉쇄정책을 폐기하겠다는 의사를 표명한 오바마 행정부는 G2라는 용어를 통해 중국의 힘과 지위를 인정하고 협력관계를 모색해왔다. 그러나 실제적으로 지난 수년간의 중미관계는 오히려 악화되어 왔다. 중국 정부는 미국이 강조하는 G2개념을 암묵적으로나 표면적으로 모두 거부하고 있으며, 스스로 제3세계 국가로 규정하고 있다. 중국지도부는 G2를 본질적으로는 중국을 압박하기 위한 봉쇄정책의 일부라고 의심하고 있다. 특히 동북아와 동남아시아에서는 미중간 권력충돌 또는 재편이 가시화되고 있다. 미중 양국이 아직은 지역의 안정 또는 현상유지라는 목표를 공유하고 있지만 미래까지 담보할 수 없는 실정이다.

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