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      KCI등재 SCOPUS

      Population Age Structure and Real Exchange Rate in OECD Countries: An Empirical Analysis

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A106747020

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      This article examines the impact of population age structure on the real exchange rate. Data on a panel of 22 OECD (Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development) countries over 1980-2015 period are used to estimate the empirical model. Using f...

      This article examines the impact of population age structure on the real exchange rate. Data on a panel of 22 OECD (Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development) countries over 1980-2015 period are used to estimate the empirical model. Using fixed effect model the paper finds that different age cohorts have a significant influence on the real exchange rates in the sample countries. The results are mostly consistent with the theoretical framework discussed in the paper and also with the findings of previous studies in this area. These results have important policy implications given the fact that the population is ageing in almost all the OECD economies these days.

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      목차 (Table of Contents)

      • Abstract
      • 1. Introduction
      • 2. Review of the relevant literature
      • 3. Population age structure and the real exchange rate
      • 4. Other determinants of the real exchange rate
      • Abstract
      • 1. Introduction
      • 2. Review of the relevant literature
      • 3. Population age structure and the real exchange rate
      • 4. Other determinants of the real exchange rate
      • 5. Sample, data and estimation
      • 6. Conclusion
      • References
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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 United Nations, "World Population Prospect: The 2008 Revision" 2009

      2 The World Bank, "World Development Indicator 2009" 2010

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      6 Mirer, T. W., "The wealth-age relation among the aged" 69 : 435-443, 1979

      7 Lane, P. R., "The transfer problem revisited: Net foreign assets and real exchange rates" 56 : 841-857, 2004

      8 Aloy, M., "The role of demography in the long-run Yen/USD real exchange rate appreciation" 31 : 654-667, 2009

      9 Balassa, Bela, "The purchasing-power parity doctrine: A reappraisal" 72 : 584-596, 1964

      10 Zhou, D., "The population age structure, the real effective exchange rate and the current account balance-empirical analysis based on the data of Chinese provincial panel" 8 : 69-82, 2018

      1 United Nations, "World Population Prospect: The 2008 Revision" 2009

      2 The World Bank, "World Development Indicator 2009" 2010

      3 Levin, A., "Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties" 108 : 1-24, 2002

      4 Palumbo, M. G., "Uncertain medical expenses and precautionary saving near the end of the life cycle" 66 : 395-421, 1999

      5 Samuelson, P. A., "Theoretical notes on trade problems" 46 : 145-154, 1964

      6 Mirer, T. W., "The wealth-age relation among the aged" 69 : 435-443, 1979

      7 Lane, P. R., "The transfer problem revisited: Net foreign assets and real exchange rates" 56 : 841-857, 2004

      8 Aloy, M., "The role of demography in the long-run Yen/USD real exchange rate appreciation" 31 : 654-667, 2009

      9 Balassa, Bela, "The purchasing-power parity doctrine: A reappraisal" 72 : 584-596, 1964

      10 Zhou, D., "The population age structure, the real effective exchange rate and the current account balance-empirical analysis based on the data of Chinese provincial panel" 8 : 69-82, 2018

      11 Chaterjee, S., "The marginal product of capital, capital flows, and convergence" Purdue University 2007

      12 Danziger, S., "The life-cycle hypothesis and the consumption behavior of the elderly" 5 : 208-227, 1982

      13 Im, K. S., "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels" 115 : 53-74, 2003

      14 Amano, R. A., "Terms of trade and real exchange rates: Canadian evidence" 14 : 83-104, 1995

      15 Gente, K., "Taux de change réelet démographie dans une petite économie Ouverte" 52 : 531-539, 2001

      16 Alexius, A., "Supply shocks and real exchange rates" Sveriges Riksbank 2000

      17 Hausman, J. A., "Specification tests in econometrics" 46 : 1251-1271, 1978

      18 Canzoneri, M. B., "Relative labor productivity and the real exchange rate in the long run: Evidence for a panel of OECD countries" NBER 1996

      19 Choudhri, E. U., "Real exchange rates in developing countries: Are Balassa-Samuelson effects present?" IMF 2004

      20 Baxter, M., "Real exchange rates and real interest differentials: Have we missed the business-cycle relationship?" 33 : 5-37, 1994

      21 Chinn, M., "Real exchange rate levels, productivity and demand shocks: Evidence from a panel of 14 countries" NBER 1996

      22 Wang, P., "Real exchange rate fluctuation analysis: Empirical evidence from six East Asian countries" Middlesex University Business School 2000

      23 Edwards, S., "Real and monetary determinants of real exchange rate behavior: Theory and evidence from developing countries" 29 : 311-341, 1988

      24 Hill, R. C, "Principles of Econometrics" John Wiley & Sons 2007

      25 Modigliani, F., "Post Keynesian Economics" Rutgers University Press 1954

      26 Lv, J., "Population age structure, urbanization and real exchange rate: An empirical study based on G20’s panel data" 9 : 302-317, 2018

      27 Hassan, A. F. M., "Population age structure, saving, capital flows and the real exchange rate: A survey of the literature" 25 : 708-736, 2011

      28 Alfred V. Guender, "Population Age Structure and Real Exchange Rates in the OECD" 한국국제경제학회 20 (20): 1-18, 2006

      29 Chortareas, G. E., "PPP and the real exchange rate-real interest rate differential puzzle revisited: Evidence from non-stationary panel data" Bank of England 2001

      30 Mankiw, N. G., "Macroeconomics" Worth Publishers 2007

      31 Mkenda, B. K., "Long-run and short-run determinants of real exchange rate in Zambia" University of Göteborg 2001

      32 Grilli, V., "Liquidity and exchange rates" 32 : 339-352, 1992

      33 De Nardi, M., "Life expectancy and old age savings" NBER 2009

      34 De Gregorio, J., "International evidence on tradables and nontradables inflation" 38 : 1225-1244, 1994

      35 Pesaran, M. H., "General diagnostic tests for cross-section dependence in a panel" 2004

      36 Andersson, A., "Forecasting real exchange rate trends using age structure data-The case of Sweden" 12 : 267-272, 2005

      37 Ross, A. K., "Fertility and the real exchange rate" 42 : 496-518, 2009

      38 Dornbusch, R., "Expectations and exchange rate dynamics" 84 : 1161-1176, 1976

      39 Mussa, M., "Exchange Rate Theory and Practice" Chicago University Press 1984

      40 Chowdhury, M. B., "Exchange Rate Behavior in Developing Countries" Deep & Deep 2000

      41 MacDonald, R., "Estimation of the equilibrium real exchange rate for South Africa" IMF 2003

      42 Österholm, P., "Estimating the relationship between age structure and GDP in the OECD using panel cointegration methods" Uppsala Universitet 2004

      43 Mark, N., "Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates" Kluwer 1994

      44 Rahman, M., "Dynamics of the yen-dollar real exchange rate and the US-Japan real trade balance" 29 : 661-664, 1997

      45 De Nardi, M., "Differential mortality, uncertain medical expenses, and the saving of elderly singles" NBER 2006

      46 Higgins, M., "Demography, national savings and International capital flows" Federal Reserve Bank of New York 1997

      47 Hassan, K., "Demographic transition and the real exchange rate in Australia: An empirical investigation" 62-77, 2015

      48 Williamson, J. G., "Demographic shocks and global factor flows" 2001

      49 Ludwig, A., "Demographic change, relative factor prices, international capital flows, and their differential effects on the welfare of generations" NBER 2007

      50 Besanger, S., "Demographic change in Asia: The impact on optimal national saving, investment, and the current account" IMF 2000

      51 Tyers, R., "Demographic change and policy responses: Implications for the global economy" 30 : 537-566, 2007

      52 Athukorala, P. C., "Capital inflows and the real exchange rate: A comparative study of Asia and Latin America" 26 : 613-637, 2003

      53 Elbadawi, I. A., "Capital flows and long-term equilibrium real exchange rates in Chile" 1994

      54 Zellner, A., "An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regressions and tests for aggregation bias" 57 : 348-368, 1962

      55 Dwyer, J., "Alternative concepts of the real exchange rate: A reconciliation" RBA 1993

      56 Lindh, T., "Age distributions and current account: Achanging relation?" Uppsala University 1999

      57 Pesaran, H. M., "A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence" 22 : 265-312, 2007

      58 Edison, H. J., "A re-assessment of the relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rates: 1974–1990" 31 : 165-187, 1993

      59 Edison, H. J., "A quantitative reassessment of the purchasing power parity hypothesis: Evidence from Norway and the United Kingdom" 2 : 309-333, 1987

      60 Maddala, G. S., "A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test" 61 : 631-652, 1999

      61 Du, Q., "A Darwinian Perspective on Exchange Rate Undervaluation" NBER 2011

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
      2025 평가예정 해외DB학술지평가 신청대상 (해외등재 학술지 평가)
      2022-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (해외등재 학술지 평가) KCI등재
      2019-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (계속평가) KCI등재
      2016-05-17 학술지명변경 한글명 : Journal of Intl Logistics and Trade -> Journal of International Logistics and Trade KCI등재
      2016-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (계속평가) KCI등재
      2012-01-01 평가 등재 1차 FAIL (등재유지) KCI등재
      2009-01-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      2008-01-01 평가 등재후보 1차 PASS (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
      2006-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 선정 (신규평가) KCI등재후보
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      학술지 인용정보

      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.23 0.23 0.29
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.28 0.24 0.542 0.15
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