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    개방경제하에서 거시경제변수가 경제성장에 미치는 효과 분석 = A Study of the Determinant Factors on Economic Growth under Open Macroeconomy

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    https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A104833755

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    다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract) kakao i 다국어 번역

    Globalization and digital economy are the main keyword which can explain the recent change in the world economy. Through the “creative economy” policy, Korean government has recently concentrated on economic growth and income distribution through globalization. Policy makers believe that openness facilitates the transmission of technology by providing communication with foreign counterparts and encourages firms to invent new and distinct ideas and technologies. Thus, they argue that capital liberalization and international trade and investment could boost the economic growth in Korea.
    In this study, I investigate the relationship between multiple macroeconomic variables and economic growth under open economy using the annual panel OECD data during 1985-2012. I employed the endogenous growth model concept using the growth accounting methodology by Cobb-Douglas production function type. The econometric method I used is the panel regression estimation using vector error correction model since there exists cointegration relation among the used variables even though each variable has unit root. Additionally, I examined the long run relationship as well as the short run through the VEC model.
    The findings suggest that the devaluation of real effective exchange rate, the increase in private investment, and the accumulation of human capital can encourage the growth of per capita GDP by having significant positive relationship. However, the increase of inward FDI and openness discourages the per capita economic growth in the long run even though positive relationship between trade openness and growth was found in the short run. Furthermore, income inequality may have insignificant effect on per capita economic growth rate.
    The findings of this study highlight that appropriate foreign exchange rate policy and encouragement of private investment would be more important than openness policy to economic growth.
    번역하기

    Globalization and digital economy are the main keyword which can explain the recent change in the world economy. Through the “creative economy” policy, Korean government has recently concentrated on economic growth and income distribution through ...

    Globalization and digital economy are the main keyword which can explain the recent change in the world economy. Through the “creative economy” policy, Korean government has recently concentrated on economic growth and income distribution through globalization. Policy makers believe that openness facilitates the transmission of technology by providing communication with foreign counterparts and encourages firms to invent new and distinct ideas and technologies. Thus, they argue that capital liberalization and international trade and investment could boost the economic growth in Korea.
    In this study, I investigate the relationship between multiple macroeconomic variables and economic growth under open economy using the annual panel OECD data during 1985-2012. I employed the endogenous growth model concept using the growth accounting methodology by Cobb-Douglas production function type. The econometric method I used is the panel regression estimation using vector error correction model since there exists cointegration relation among the used variables even though each variable has unit root. Additionally, I examined the long run relationship as well as the short run through the VEC model.
    The findings suggest that the devaluation of real effective exchange rate, the increase in private investment, and the accumulation of human capital can encourage the growth of per capita GDP by having significant positive relationship. However, the increase of inward FDI and openness discourages the per capita economic growth in the long run even though positive relationship between trade openness and growth was found in the short run. Furthermore, income inequality may have insignificant effect on per capita economic growth rate.
    The findings of this study highlight that appropriate foreign exchange rate policy and encouragement of private investment would be more important than openness policy to economic growth.

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    참고문헌 (Reference)

    1 Harrison, A., "Who Gains from Trade Reform? Some Remaining Puzzles" 50 : 125-154, 1999

    2 Levin, A., "Unit Root Tests in Panel Data : Asymptotic and Finite-Sample Properties" 108 : 1-24, 2002

    3 Choi, I., "Unit Root Tests for Panel Data" 20 : 249-272, 2001

    4 Dollar, D., "Trade, Growth, and Poverty" World Bank 2001

    5 Madsen, Jakob B., "Trade Barriers, Openness, and Economic Growth" Monash University 2008

    6 Phillips, P. C. B., "Time Series Regression with Unit Roots" 55 : 277-302, 1987

    7 Judge, G., "The Theory and Practice of Econometrics" John Wiley 1982

    8 Rodrick, D., "The New Global Economy and Developing Countries: Making Openness Work" Overseas Development Council 1999

    9 Im, K. S., "Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogenous Panels" 115 : 53-74, 2003

    10 Hadri, K., "Testing for Stationarity in Heterogenous Panel Data" 3 (3): 148-161, 2000

    1 Harrison, A., "Who Gains from Trade Reform? Some Remaining Puzzles" 50 : 125-154, 1999

    2 Levin, A., "Unit Root Tests in Panel Data : Asymptotic and Finite-Sample Properties" 108 : 1-24, 2002

    3 Choi, I., "Unit Root Tests for Panel Data" 20 : 249-272, 2001

    4 Dollar, D., "Trade, Growth, and Poverty" World Bank 2001

    5 Madsen, Jakob B., "Trade Barriers, Openness, and Economic Growth" Monash University 2008

    6 Phillips, P. C. B., "Time Series Regression with Unit Roots" 55 : 277-302, 1987

    7 Judge, G., "The Theory and Practice of Econometrics" John Wiley 1982

    8 Rodrick, D., "The New Global Economy and Developing Countries: Making Openness Work" Overseas Development Council 1999

    9 Im, K. S., "Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogenous Panels" 115 : 53-74, 2003

    10 Hadri, K., "Testing for Stationarity in Heterogenous Panel Data" 3 (3): 148-161, 2000

    11 Howitt, P., "Steady Endogenous Growth and Cross-Country Income Differences" 107 : 715-730, 1999

    12 Johansen, S., "Statistical Analysis of Co-integration Vector" 12 : 231-254, 1988

    13 Granger, C.W.J., "Spurious Regressions in Econometrics" 2 : 111-120, 1974

    14 Kao, C., "Spurious Regression and Residual-Based Tests for Cointegration in Panel Data" 90 : 1-44, 1999

    15 Vamvakidis, A., "Regional Integration and Economic Growth" 12 : 251-270, 1998

    16 Jones, C. I., "R&D Based Models of Economic Growth" 103 : 759-784, 1995

    17 Grossman G., "Quality Ladders in the Theory of Growth" 58 : 43-61, 1991

    18 Pedroni, Peter, "Panel Cointegration; Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests with an Application to the PPP Hypothesis" 20 : 597-625, 2004

    19 Dollar, D., "Outward-Oriented Developing Economies Really Do Grow More Rapidly: Evidence from 95 LDCs, 1976-85" 40 : 523-544, 1992

    20 Edwards, S., "Openness, Trade Liberalization, and Growth in Developing Coutries" 111 : 1358-1393, 1993

    21 Edwards, S., "Openness, Productivity and Growth:What do we Really Know?" 108 : 383-398, 1998

    22 Ulasan, B., "Openness to International Trade and Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Empirical Investigation" Central Bank of Turkey 2014

    23 Rodriguez, F., "NBER Macroeconomics Annual" MIT Press 2000

    24 Barro, R., "International Data on Educational Attainment: Updates and Implications" 3 : 541-563, 2001

    25 Blundell, R., "Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models" 87 : 115-143, 1988

    26 Phillips, P. C. B., "Impulse Response and Forecast Error Variance Asymptotics in Nonstationary VARs" 83 : 21-56, 1998

    27 Cebula, Richard J., "Impact of Trade freedom on per capita real GDP growth among OECD nations:recent panel data evidence"

    28 Vamvakidis, A., "How Robust is the Growth-Openness Connection? Historical Evidence" 7 : 57-80, 2002

    29 Basu, P., "Foreign Direct Investment, Inequality, and Growth" 29 : 824-839, 2007

    30 Herzer, Dierk, "FDI and Income Inequality: Evidence from Europe" Kiel Institute for the World Economy 2011

    31 Hayat, Arshad, "FDI and Economic Growth: The Role of Natural Resources" MPRA 2014

    32 Johansen, S., "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Model" 58 : 1551-1580, 1991

    33 Ben-David, D., "Equalizing Exchange: Trade Liberalization and Income Convergence" 108 : 653-679, 1993

    34 Romer, P. M., "Endogenous Technological Change" 98 : S71-S102, 1990

    35 Aghion, P., "Endogenous Growth" MIT Press 1998

    36 Arabatli, Elif, "Economic Policies and FDI Inflows to Emerging Market Economies" IMF 2011

    37 Rivera-Batiz, L., "Economic Integration and Endogenous Growth" 106 : 531-555, 1991

    38 Barro, R. J., "Economic Growth" McGraw-Hill 1995

    39 Frankel, J. A., "Does Trade cause Growth" 89 : 379-399, 1999

    40 Dreher, Axel, "Does Globalization affect Growth? Evidence from a new index of Globalization" 38 : 1091-1110, 2006

    41 Pedroni, Peter, "Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors" (Special) : 653-669, 1999

    42 Breitung, Joerg, "Advances in Econometrics, vol.15: Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels" JAI Press 161-178, 2000

    43 Maddala, G. S., "A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and A New Simple Test" 61 : 653-670, 1999

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    기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
    2016 0.55 0.55 0.47
    KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
    0.47 0.46 0.727 0.13
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