미국 클린턴·부시행정부의 대북정책에 대한 연구 = (A) Study on the Clinton and Bush Admin[i]stration's Policy toward North Korea in U.S.A

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The purpose of this study is to analyze and compare the North Korean policies of the U.S.A between Clinton and Bush. In the era of Cold War, U.S.A diplomatic policy toward the North had evolved into a Blockade as a part of Containment Policy against the Soviet Union.
Entering into the new era of Post-Cold War, however, Washington has altered its previous diplomatic orbit into the nuclear nonproliferation policy against the North. Clinton administration had reached a basic agreement signed in Geneva through negotiation and conversation.
In contrast, however, Bush administration has pursued a unilateral and power-oriented diplomacy against the North emphasizing reciprocal action and verification. Showing off the confidence that the whole agendas shall be solved, the current U.S.A administration has brought up the reformation of Geneva Agreement Framework, a missile issue, and the reduction of armament to start conversations with the North. Furthermore, the U.S.A included non-production of biochemical weapons among the agendas.
Since the September 11th attack, President Bush has used the phrase axis of evil referring the North Korea. He also enrolled North Korea on the list of Terrorist-Supporting Nations. these Washingtons firm actions have aggravated the U.S.-North Korea relations and the tension has been heightened by the Norths nuke development plan leaked-out in October 2002.
The Pentagon strongly demanded Pyongyang the disposal of nuclei in advance because the North Korea violated the Geneva Agreement by activating the nuke development plan. However, the U.S.A tries to approach these issues through economic sanctions and pressure on the North Korea cooperating with South Korea and Japan rather than exercising a military power. In response to this, Pyongyang requested a mutual non-aggression treaty.
The goal of both Clinton and Bush administrations are to prevent dissemination of weapons of mass destruction and to keep Korea peninsula's peace. So the goal of North Korean polices are same, but they are different applying the method. The North Korean policies of U.S.A has been affected by political preference of leader, domestic public opinion, administration and assembly, and attitude of other nation. In addition to relation of South Korea and U.S.A, the North Korea polices of South have been affected the North Korea polices of U.S.A
As a result the North Korea polices of U.S.A isn't different between Clinton and Bush. So we must concern of the polices of U.S.A We must establish friendly relations with U.S. In order to establish friendly relations between U.S.A and North Korea.
Bush administration's firm stand is expected to continue for the time being Because the North Korea nuke issue can't be dealt with by U.S.A alone, however, it's unlikely to take an military action against the North Korea just like the way it does against Iraq.
Furthermore, pyongyang's military capacity is higher than that of Iraq and more menacing enough to launch a missile into the U.S.A mainland. from the worst scenario, it's possible that the construction of light-water reactor shall be suspended and the Geneva agreement broken.
However, Bush administration is more likely to intensify its economic and political pressure on the North Korea cooperating with neighboring countries rather than taking a military action.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 목차 = ⅰ
• ABSTRACT = ⅲ
• 제1장 서론 = 1
• 제1절 연구의 목적 = 1
• 제2절 연구범위 및 방법 = 2
• 제2장 미국의 외교정책 = 5
• 제1절 전통 = 5
• 제2절 일반적인 특징 = 12
• 제3절 결정요인 = 17
• 제4절 대북정책 기조와 변용 = 24
• 제3장 클린던 행정부의 대북정책 = 29
• 제1절 대외정책의 방향 = 29
• 제2절 대북정책의 특징 = 32
• 제3절 핵문제에 관련한 대북정책 = 34
• 제4장 부시행정부의 대북정 책 = 43
• 제1절 대외정책의 방향 = 43
• 제2절 대북정책의 특징 = 45
• 제3절 핵문제와 관련된 대북정책 = 48
• 제5장 클린던 - 부시의 대북정책 비교 = 56
• 제1절 정책의 유사성과 차이점 = 56
• 제2절 정책적 차이성의 요인 = 59
• 제3절 대북정책의 전망 = 66
• 제6장 결론 = 70
• 참고문헌 = 74