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      Foreign Exchange Risk Premia and Goods Market Frictions

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A104155830

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      Fama’s (1984) volatility relations show that the risk premium in foreign exchange markets is more volatile than, and is negatively correlated with the expected rate of depreciation. This paper studies these relations from the perspective of goods markets frictions. Using a sticky-price general equilibrium model, we show that near-random walk behaviors of both exchange rates and consumption, in response to monetary shocks, can be derived endogenously. Based on this approach, the paper provides quantitative results on Fama’s volatility relations.
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      Fama’s (1984) volatility relations show that the risk premium in foreign exchange markets is more volatile than, and is negatively correlated with the expected rate of depreciation. This paper studies these relations from the perspective of goods ma...

      Fama’s (1984) volatility relations show that the risk premium in foreign exchange markets is more volatile than, and is negatively correlated with the expected rate of depreciation. This paper studies these relations from the perspective of goods markets frictions. Using a sticky-price general equilibrium model, we show that near-random walk behaviors of both exchange rates and consumption, in response to monetary shocks, can be derived endogenously. Based on this approach, the paper provides quantitative results on Fama’s volatility relations.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 Huang, K. X. D, "Why does cyclical behavior of real wages change over time" 94 (94): 836-856, 2004

      2 Alvarez, F, "Time-Varying Risk, Interest Rates and Exchange Rates in General Equilibrium" University of Chicago 2006

      3 Bekaert, G, "The Time Variation of Risk and Return in foreign Exchange Markets: A General Equilibrium Perspective" 9 (9): 427-470, 1996

      4 Bekaert, G, "The Implications of First-Order Risk Aversion for Asset Market Risk Premiums" 40 (40): 3-39, 1997

      5 Engel, C. M, "The Forward Discount Anomaly and the Risk Premium: A Survey of Recent Evidence" 3 (3): 123-192, 1996

      6 Hodrick, R, "The Covariation of Risk Premiums and Expected Future Spot Exchange Rates" 5 (5): S5-S21, 1986

      7 Engel, C. M, "Testing for the Absence of Expected Real Profits from Forward Market Speculation" 17 (17): 299-308, 1984

      8 Hall, R, "Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and evidence" 86 (86): 971-987, 1978

      9 Huang, K. X. D, "Staggered Price Setting, Staggered Wage Setting, and Business Cycle Persistence" 49 (49): 405-433, 2002

      10 Hodrick, R, "Risk, Uncertainty, and Exchange Rates" 23 (23): 433-459, 1989

      1 Huang, K. X. D, "Why does cyclical behavior of real wages change over time" 94 (94): 836-856, 2004

      2 Alvarez, F, "Time-Varying Risk, Interest Rates and Exchange Rates in General Equilibrium" University of Chicago 2006

      3 Bekaert, G, "The Time Variation of Risk and Return in foreign Exchange Markets: A General Equilibrium Perspective" 9 (9): 427-470, 1996

      4 Bekaert, G, "The Implications of First-Order Risk Aversion for Asset Market Risk Premiums" 40 (40): 3-39, 1997

      5 Engel, C. M, "The Forward Discount Anomaly and the Risk Premium: A Survey of Recent Evidence" 3 (3): 123-192, 1996

      6 Hodrick, R, "The Covariation of Risk Premiums and Expected Future Spot Exchange Rates" 5 (5): S5-S21, 1986

      7 Engel, C. M, "Testing for the Absence of Expected Real Profits from Forward Market Speculation" 17 (17): 299-308, 1984

      8 Hall, R, "Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and evidence" 86 (86): 971-987, 1978

      9 Huang, K. X. D, "Staggered Price Setting, Staggered Wage Setting, and Business Cycle Persistence" 49 (49): 405-433, 2002

      10 Hodrick, R, "Risk, Uncertainty, and Exchange Rates" 23 (23): 433-459, 1989

      11 Duarte, M, "Rational Speculation and Exchange Rates" 52 (52): 3-29, 2005

      12 Canova, F, "Profits, Risk, and Uncertainty in Foreign Exchange Markets" 32 (32): 259-286, 1993

      13 Jorgenson, D. W, "Productivity and U.S. Economic Growth" Harvard University Press 1987

      14 Bergin, P. R, "Pricing-to-Market, Staggered Contracts, and Real Exchange Rate Persistence" 54 (54): 333-359, 2001

      15 Engel, C. M, "On the Foreign Exchange Risk Premium in a General Equilibrium Model" 32 (32): 305-319, 1992

      16 Harrigan, J, "OECD Imports and Trade Barriers in 1983" 35 (35): 91-111, 1993

      17 Christiano L. J, "Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy" 113 (113): 1-45, 2005

      18 Obstfeld, M, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000. vol. 15" MIT Press 339-412, 2000

      19 Mankiw, N. G, "Money Demand and the Effects of Fiscal Policies" 18 (18): 415-429, 1986

      20 Gali, J, "Monetary Policy and Exchange Volatility ina Small Open Euonomy" 72 (72): 707-734, 2005

      21 Cumby, R. F, "Is it risk?: Explaining deviations from uncovered interest parity" 22 (22): 279-299, 1988

      22 Engel, C. M, "International Finance and Financial Crises: Essays in Honor of Robert P. Flood, Jr" Kluwer Academic/International Mometary Fund 71-85, 1999

      23 Lucas, R. E. Jr, "Interest Rates and Currency Prices in a Two Country World" 10 (10): 335-359, 1982

      24 Lewis, K, "Handbook of International Economics. vol 3" North Holland 1995

      25 Rouwenhorst, K. G, "Frontiers of Business Cycle Research" Princeton University Press 294-330, 1995

      26 Fama, E. F, "Forward and Spot Exchange Rates?" 14 (14): 319-338, 1984

      27 Flood, R. P, "Fixing Exchange Rates: A Virtual Quest for Fundamentals" 36 (36): 3-37, 1995

      28 Meese, R. A, "Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics" University of Chicago Press 1983

      29 Engel, C. M, "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals" 113 (113): 485-517, 2005

      30 Chung, W, "Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?" NBER 2002

      31 Obstfeld, M, "Economic Policy: Essays in Honor of Assaf Razin" Cambridge University Press 74-118, 2003

      32 Backus, D. K, "Dynamics of the Trade Balance and the Terms of Trade: The J-Curve?" 84 (84): 84-103, 1994

      33 Chari, V. V, "Can Sticky Price Models Generate Volatile and Persistent Real Exchange Rates?" 69 (69): 533-563, 2002

      34 Taylor, J. B, "Aggregate dynamics and staggered contracts" 88 (88): 1-23, 1980

      35 Backus, D. K, "Accounting for Forward Rates in Markets for foreign Currency" 48 (48): 1887-1908, 1993

      36 Stock, J. H, "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors:in Higher Order Integrated Systems" 61 (61): 783-820, 1993

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
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      2017-09-15 학회명변경 영문명 : 미등록 -> Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP) KCI등재
      2016-05-04 학술지명변경 한글명 : Journal of East Asian Economic Integration -> East Asian Economic Review
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      2011-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2010-07-07 학술지명변경 외국어명 : Journal of International Economic Studies -> Journal of East Asian Economic Integration KCI등재
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      2006-01-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      2005-05-30 학술지등록 한글명 : 대외경제연구
      외국어명 : Journal of International Economic Studies
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      학술지 인용정보

      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.37 0.37 0.35
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.27 0.27 0.838 0.11
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