소비자체감경기 전망조사 개편 방안 연구: 서울지역을 중심으로 = A Study on the Reform of Consumer Sentiment Index Survey

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This study examines how to reform the Seoul Metropolitan Government's Consumer Sentiment Survey, motivated by the persistent discrepancy observed between the national Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) announced by the Bank of Korea and the Seoul CSI, particularly after the COVID-19 pandemic. This discrepancy reflects fundamental differences in regional economic structures, such as varying ratios of private consumption to GRDP, and unique regional resilience to national shocks, establishing the academic necessity of developing a region-specific CSI. To this end, the study reviews the survey systems and methodologies of major global benchmarks (e.g., the United States, Europe, Japan) and analyzes domestic CSI operations. Based on the comparative analysis, this paper proposes strategies to enhance the accuracy and policy utility of the regional index, including modernizing indicator components, securing statistical representativeness of samples in response to rapid demographic changes, and adjusting the survey cycle. Ultimately, this research provides a policy rationale for adopting region-specific CSI nationwide, enabling local governments to capture micro-economic trends more precisely and formulate timely, tailored regional economic policies.