중앙아시아 페르가나지역 안보와 급진 이슬람주의: 해방당의 특성을 중심으로 = Security of Ferghana Valley in Central Asia and Radical Islamism: Focusing on Hizb ut-Tahrir al Islami

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This paper is aiming at analysing the extent of threat by Hizb ut-Tahrir al Islami (HT) to political regimes and states in Ferghana Valley, presenting components of threat as follows: capacity of spreading ideology; position to using violence; and the probability of linking with internal and external militant Islamic organization. HT has too serious limitations to enlighten people and to expand its sphere of influence under the secular religious practice and the harsh repression by local governments. As HT thinks that it doesn’t succeed to culture muslim civil society with genuine Islam spirit, it will continue to pursue unarmed and non-violent policy course for political struggle. As far as HT holds fast to the dogmatic attitude to its ideology and policy, and the exclusive position against those of other organizations, it will not be likely to bring about serious threat to the security of Ferghana Valley through the association with other Islamist organizations. However, if three governments in Ferghana Valley are not successful in dealing with the problems of economic growth and distribution, and if they can’t improve welfare and social inequalities, and if bureaucrats’ corruption and arbitrariness keep flourishing, then persuasive power and influence of HT will grow steadily.

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