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    유동성 및 화폐수요함수의 변화에 관한 연구 = The Change of Liquidity and Money Demand Function

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    https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A82570440

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    다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract) kakao i 다국어 번역

    The main purpose of this study is to explore how the money and liquidity demand functions have changed. To analyze the money demand functions, Gregory and Hansen`s cointegration, Johansen`s cointegration, and ARDL Bounds test were employed. Additionally, Stock and Watson`s DOLS method was applied to estimate long-run cointegraton vectors. There were no cointegration relationships among money demand, real income, and interest rate in more than a half of the tested models. However, by including additional variables(short-run interest rate, stock price, real estate price, exchange rate, foreign interest rate, stock price volatility, exchange rate volatility, etc.) on the tested models, we could find strong cointegration relationships among money demand, real income, interest rate, and additional variables in all tested models. The result implies that additional variables are crucial in the long-run equilibrium relationship. The effective additional variables on money demands are different according to the time period in Korea. Before the foreign exchange crisis, exchange rate and short-term interest rate were meaningful variables to explain money demands. However, after the foreign exchange crisis, stock price and stock price volatility were more effective factors influencing on money demands. It would be resulted from the radical increase of the importance of stock market in the Korean financial market after the foreign exchange crisis.
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    The main purpose of this study is to explore how the money and liquidity demand functions have changed. To analyze the money demand functions, Gregory and Hansen`s cointegration, Johansen`s cointegration, and ARDL Bounds test were employed. Additional...

    The main purpose of this study is to explore how the money and liquidity demand functions have changed. To analyze the money demand functions, Gregory and Hansen`s cointegration, Johansen`s cointegration, and ARDL Bounds test were employed. Additionally, Stock and Watson`s DOLS method was applied to estimate long-run cointegraton vectors. There were no cointegration relationships among money demand, real income, and interest rate in more than a half of the tested models. However, by including additional variables(short-run interest rate, stock price, real estate price, exchange rate, foreign interest rate, stock price volatility, exchange rate volatility, etc.) on the tested models, we could find strong cointegration relationships among money demand, real income, interest rate, and additional variables in all tested models. The result implies that additional variables are crucial in the long-run equilibrium relationship. The effective additional variables on money demands are different according to the time period in Korea. Before the foreign exchange crisis, exchange rate and short-term interest rate were meaningful variables to explain money demands. However, after the foreign exchange crisis, stock price and stock price volatility were more effective factors influencing on money demands. It would be resulted from the radical increase of the importance of stock market in the Korean financial market after the foreign exchange crisis.

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    참고문헌 (Reference)

    1 김철현, "화폐수요함수의 장기안정성에 관한 실증적 고찰" 한국산업경제학회 15 (15): 18-, 2002

    2 금재호, "화폐수요함수의 구조적 안정성" 7 (7): 145-174, 1993

    3 김종구, "한국의 광의통화(M2)와 광의유동성(L)에 대한 화폐수요의 장기적 안정성 검정" 국제지역학회 12 (12): 171-194, 2008

    4 서병선, "통화실종과 한국 통화수요함수의 장기안정성 검정" 12 (12): 87-117, 2001

    5 유윤하, "통화수요함수의 장기안정성 검정: 공적분 검정방법의 채용" 16 (16): 45-68, 1994

    6 박우규, "인플레와 M2 유통속도" 13 (13): 3-19, 1991

    7 함정호, "우리나라의 통화서비스지표와 통화수요함수" 한국은행 89-3, 1989

    8 황호영, "우리나라의 장기적 통화수요함수: 계절성을 감안한 공적분검정" 46 (46): 3-21, 1998

    9 정근존, "외환위기 전?후 개방경제하의 화폐수요함수*- 새로운 통화지표를 중심으로 -" 한국경제통상학회 25 (25): 59-80, 2007

    10 한국은행, "새 통화지표 편제결과" 26-51, 2002

    1 김철현, "화폐수요함수의 장기안정성에 관한 실증적 고찰" 한국산업경제학회 15 (15): 18-, 2002

    2 금재호, "화폐수요함수의 구조적 안정성" 7 (7): 145-174, 1993

    3 김종구, "한국의 광의통화(M2)와 광의유동성(L)에 대한 화폐수요의 장기적 안정성 검정" 국제지역학회 12 (12): 171-194, 2008

    4 서병선, "통화실종과 한국 통화수요함수의 장기안정성 검정" 12 (12): 87-117, 2001

    5 유윤하, "통화수요함수의 장기안정성 검정: 공적분 검정방법의 채용" 16 (16): 45-68, 1994

    6 박우규, "인플레와 M2 유통속도" 13 (13): 3-19, 1991

    7 함정호, "우리나라의 통화서비스지표와 통화수요함수" 한국은행 89-3, 1989

    8 황호영, "우리나라의 장기적 통화수요함수: 계절성을 감안한 공적분검정" 46 (46): 3-21, 1998

    9 정근존, "외환위기 전?후 개방경제하의 화폐수요함수*- 새로운 통화지표를 중심으로 -" 한국경제통상학회 25 (25): 59-80, 2007

    10 한국은행, "새 통화지표 편제결과" 26-51, 2002

    11 주한광, "불확실성 및 환율과 한국의 화폐수요함수" 한국국제경제학회 8 (8): 149-170, 2002

    12 전상준, "공적분-오차수정모형을 이용한 한국 화폐수요함수의 추정" 3 (3): 1-32, 1998

    13 Pesaran, M. H, "Working with Microfit 4.0: Interactive Econometric Analysis" Oxford University Press 1997

    14 Fase, M, "Wealth and the demand for money in the European Union" 23 : 507-524, 1998

    15 Boone, L, "Wealth Effects on Money Demand in the Euro Area" 34 : 525-536, 2008

    16 Kremers, J. J., "The Power of Cointegration tests" 54 : 325-347, 1992

    17 Choudhry, A. R., "The Demand for Money in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Switzerland" 6 : 134-144, 1995

    18 Coenen, G, "The Demand for M3 in the Euro Area" 16 : 727-748, 2001

    19 Hsing, Y., "Tests of the Functional Form, the Wealth Effect, Currensy Substitution, and Capital Mobility for Taiwan's Money Demand Function,”" 10 : 329-339, 2007

    20 Phillips, P. C. B, "Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression" 75 : 335-346, 1988

    21 Arize, AC, J. Malindretos, "Structural Break, Cointegration, and speed of adjustment: Evidence from 12 LDCs Money Demand" 8 : 399-420, 1999

    22 Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi, "Stock prices and long-run demand for money: Evidence from Malaysia" 한국국제경제학회 18 (18): 387-405, 2004

    23 Baharumshah, A. Z., "Stock Prices and Demand for Money in China: New Evidence" 19 : 171-187, 2009

    24 Carstensen, K., "Stock Market Downswing and the Stability of European Monetary Union Money Demand" 24 (24): 395-402, 2006

    25 Johansen, S., "Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors" 12 : 231-254, 1988

    26 Bahmani-Oskoee, M, "Stability of M2 Money Demand Function in Industrial Countries" 34 : 2075-2083, 2002

    27 Gregory, A. W, "Residual Based Tests for Cointegration in Modles with Regime Shifts" 70 : 99-126, 1996

    28 Thornton, J., "Real Stock Prices and the Long-run Demand for Money in Germany" 8 : 513-517, 1998

    29 Gregory, A. W, "Practitioners Coner : Tests for Cointegration in Models with Regime and Trends Shifts" 56 : 555-560, 1996

    30 Friedman, M., "Money and the Stock Market" 96 : 221-245, 1988

    31 McCornac, D., "Money and Level of Stock Market prices: Evidence from Japan" 30 : 42-51, 1991

    32 Kontolemis, Z. G., "Money Demand in the Euro Area: Where Do We Stand(Today)" International Monetary Fund 2002

    33 Marquez, J., "Money Demand in Open Economies: A Currency Substitution Model for Venezuela" 6 : 167-178, 1987

    34 Funke, M., "Money Demand in Euroland" 20 : 701-713, 2001

    35 Carruth, A, "Money Demand in Dominican Republic" 32 : 1439-1449, 2000

    36 Joseph, A., "Money Demand and Economic Uncertainty" Bank of Canada 1-19, 2004

    37 Hendry, D. F, "Modeling the Demand for Narrow Money in the United Kingdom and the United States" 35 : 833-886, 1991

    38 Johansen, S, "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration - with Applications to the Demand for Money" 52 : 169-210, 1990

    39 Bahmani-Oskoee, M, "Long-run demand for money in Hong Kong: An application of the ARDL model" 1 : 147-155, 2002

    40 Bahmani-Oskoee, M, "Long-run Elasticities of the Demand for Money in Korea: Evidence from Cointegration Analysis" 8 : 83-93, 1994

    41 Bruggeman, A., "Is the Demand for Euro Area M3 Stable" European Central Bank 2003

    42 Lee, T. H, "Further Results on the Long-Run Demand for Money in Korea: A Cointegration Analysis" 9 (9): 103-133, 1995

    43 Gonzalo, J., "Five Alternative Methods of Estimating Long-run Equilibrium Relationships" 60 : 203-233, 1994

    44 Cheung, Y. W, "Finite-Sample Sizes of Johansen's Likelihood Ratio Tests for Conintegration" 55 : 313-328, 1993

    45 Johansen, S., "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegrating Vectors in Gaussian Autoregressive Models" 59 : 155-180, 1991

    46 Chalson, J. B, "Effects of Movements in Equities Prices on M2 Demand" 35 (35): 2-9, 1999

    47 European Central Bank, "Economic Developments in the Euro Area" 9-29, 2003

    48 McKinnon, R. I., "Currency Substitution and Instability in the World Dollar Standard" 72 : 320-333, 1982

    49 Engle, R. F, "Cointegration and Error-Correction : Representation, Estimation and Testing" 55 : 251-276, 1987

    50 Pesaran, M. H., "Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships" 16 : 289-326, 2001

    51 Arize, AC, "An Econometirc analysis of Money Demand in Taiwan, 1950-1989" 38 : 27-35, 1994

    52 Pesaran, M. H, "An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling Approach to Cointegration Analysis, in Centennial Volume of Ragnar Frisch" Cambridge University Press 1999

    53 Wu, C. S, "An Analysis on the Relationship between stock, real estate, and the Money Markets in Taiwan in the 1980s" Academia Sinica 1993

    54 Stock, James H, "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated System" 61 : 783-820, 1993

    55 Brand, C, "A Money Demand System for Euro Area M3" European Central Bank 2000

    56 Choi, W. G, "A Money Demand Function with Output Uncertainty, Monetary Uncertainty, and Financial Innovations" 35 (35): 685-709, 2003

    57 Pantula, S. G., "A Comparison of Unit-Root Test Criteria" 12 : 449-459, 1994

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