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      KCI등재

      Prediction of Operating Cash Flows Using Accounting Information: Korean Evidence

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A104983036

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      This study investigated whether current cash flows from operations has superior predictive ability to current earnings in the prediction of future operating cash flows of Korean companies. Using a reduced sample of 240 non-financial companies listed in the Korea Stock Exchange for the period of 2006-2015, the results, based on the OLS regression analysis and panel data analysis, indicated that current cash flows from operations have superior predictive ability to current earnings for future cash flows from operations and operating income (EBIT) has also the same explanatory power as the operating cash flows for the prediction of future operating cash flows. The results of the study supported the idea that cash flows are considered more meaningful barometer than accrual based earnings when investors determine the value of the company and make the decision of their investments. Compared to pooled regression analysis which has been most extensively used in the previous studies, the use of fixed effects with panel data improved the explanatory power of the models.
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      This study investigated whether current cash flows from operations has superior predictive ability to current earnings in the prediction of future operating cash flows of Korean companies. Using a reduced sample of 240 non-financial companies listed i...

      This study investigated whether current cash flows from operations has superior predictive ability to current earnings in the prediction of future operating cash flows of Korean companies. Using a reduced sample of 240 non-financial companies listed in the Korea Stock Exchange for the period of 2006-2015, the results, based on the OLS regression analysis and panel data analysis, indicated that current cash flows from operations have superior predictive ability to current earnings for future cash flows from operations and operating income (EBIT) has also the same explanatory power as the operating cash flows for the prediction of future operating cash flows. The results of the study supported the idea that cash flows are considered more meaningful barometer than accrual based earnings when investors determine the value of the company and make the decision of their investments. Compared to pooled regression analysis which has been most extensively used in the previous studies, the use of fixed effects with panel data improved the explanatory power of the models.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 박종국, "미래현금흐름 예측능력과 수익비용대응" 한국회계정보학회 33 (33): 217-236, 2015

      2 Garrod, N., "The value relevance of earnings, cash flow and accruals: the impact of disaggregation and contingencies" University of Glasgow 2000

      3 Guay, W. R., "The usefulness of long-term accruals" 37 : 110-130, 2001

      4 Efayena, O., "The role of accrual accounting basis in the prediction of future cash flows : the Nigerian evidenc" 6 (6): 171-180, 2015

      5 Arnedo, L., "The role of accounting accruals for the prediction of future cash flows : evidence from Spain" 3 (3): 499-520, 2012

      6 Mulenga, M. J., "The relative ability of earnings and cash flow from operations in predicting future cash flows : evidence from India" 5 (5): 178-194, 2015

      7 Farshadfar S., "The relative ability of earnings and cash flow data in forecasting future cash flows : Some Australian evidence" 20 (20): 254-268, 2008

      8 Dechow, P., "The relations between earnings and cash flow" 25 : 133-168, 1998

      9 Subramanyem K. R., "The pricing of discretionary accruals" 22 (22): 249-282, 1996

      10 McLeay, S., "The incremental information content of accruals: evidence based on the exponential smoothing of levels and trends in pre-tax earnings, funds flow and cash flow" 24 (24): 1147-1167, 1997

      1 박종국, "미래현금흐름 예측능력과 수익비용대응" 한국회계정보학회 33 (33): 217-236, 2015

      2 Garrod, N., "The value relevance of earnings, cash flow and accruals: the impact of disaggregation and contingencies" University of Glasgow 2000

      3 Guay, W. R., "The usefulness of long-term accruals" 37 : 110-130, 2001

      4 Efayena, O., "The role of accrual accounting basis in the prediction of future cash flows : the Nigerian evidenc" 6 (6): 171-180, 2015

      5 Arnedo, L., "The role of accounting accruals for the prediction of future cash flows : evidence from Spain" 3 (3): 499-520, 2012

      6 Mulenga, M. J., "The relative ability of earnings and cash flow from operations in predicting future cash flows : evidence from India" 5 (5): 178-194, 2015

      7 Farshadfar S., "The relative ability of earnings and cash flow data in forecasting future cash flows : Some Australian evidence" 20 (20): 254-268, 2008

      8 Dechow, P., "The relations between earnings and cash flow" 25 : 133-168, 1998

      9 Subramanyem K. R., "The pricing of discretionary accruals" 22 (22): 249-282, 1996

      10 McLeay, S., "The incremental information content of accruals: evidence based on the exponential smoothing of levels and trends in pre-tax earnings, funds flow and cash flow" 24 (24): 1147-1167, 1997

      11 Rayburn, J., "The association of operating cash flow and accruals with security returns" 24 : 112-133, 1986

      12 Finger, C. A., "The ability of earnings to predict future earnings and cash flow" 32 : 210-223, 1994

      13 Board, J. L. G., "The Information content of cash flow figures" 20 : 3-11, 1989

      14 Financial Accounting Standards Board, "Statement of Financial Accounting Concepts 1: Objectives of Financial Reporting by Business Enterprises (FASB)" 1978

      15 Zhao, Y., "Predicting future cash flow from operations: Australian evidence" 2007

      16 Hair, J. F., "Multivariate data analysis" Prentice Hall 1998

      17 Garrod, N., "Investor response to cash flow information" 25 (25): 613-631, 1998

      18 Murdoch, B., "Further evidence on the comparative ability of accounting data to predict operating cash flows" 26 (26): 1-14, 1990

      19 Telmoudi, A., "Forecasting of operating cash flow : case of the Tunisian commercial companies" 5 (5): 198-210, 2010

      20 Foster, G., "Financial statement analysis" Prentice-Hall 1986

      21 Bowen R. M., "Evidence on the relationships between earnings and various measures of cash flow" 723-747, 1986

      22 Greenburg, R. R., "Earning versus cash flows as a predictor of future cash flow measures" 1 (1): 266-277, 1986

      23 Al-Attar A., "Corporate data and future cash flows" 31 (31): 861-903, 2004

      24 Kim, J. Y., "Cash flow and accounting incomes as a predictor of the future cashflow" 6 (6): 57-70, 1999

      25 Murdoch, B., "An empirical investigation of the predictive power of accrual and cash flow data in forecasting operating cash flow" 20 (20): 100-113, 1989

      26 Dechow, P., "Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures of firm performance: the role of accounting accruals" 18 : 3-42, 1994

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
      2022 평가예정 재인증평가 신청대상 (재인증)
      2019-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (계속평가) KCI등재
      2016-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (계속평가) KCI등재
      2012-01-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      2011-01-01 평가 등재후보 1차 PASS (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
      2010-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 유지 (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
      2008-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 선정 (신규평가) KCI등재후보
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      학술지 인용정보

      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.45 0.45 0.53
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.62 0.65 0.566 0.31
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