호안에서의 월파에 대한 신뢰성 해석

국문 초록 (Abstract)

본 연구에서는 경사식 호안에서 발생하는 월파 현상에 대한 Level 3 신뢰성 해석을 수행하여, 처오름 높이와 평균월파량을 바탕으로 월파 현상을 분석하였다. Level 3 방법의 Monte-Carlo 추출법으로 모의하면서, 월파에 영향을 미치는 여러 변수들의 불확실성을 고려하였다. 파별분석법으로 개별파의 처오름 높이를 계산하여 월파확률을 산정하고, 평균월파량은 유의파고로부터 직접 계산하였다. 또한 개별파의 월파부피에 대한 통계적 가정을 바탕으로 월파확률과 평균월파량으로부터 최대월파부피를 산정하였다. 한편 파향의 변동성과 수심, 구조물의 경사각을 변화시키면서 월파 현상에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 파향의 변동성을 고려하거나 쇄파대 안쪽으로 들어올수록 굴절의 영향으로 평균월파량과 월파획률 그리고 최대월파부피가 줄어들었으며 호안의 마루높이도 낮게 결정되었다. 그리고 수심이나 방향분산계수가 다른 두 지점의 기대평균월파량이 같게 나타날지라도, 같은 수심에 비해 수심이 얕은 쇄파대 내에서는 기대월파확률은 크고 기대최대월파부피는 작게 나타난다.

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

A Level 3 reliability analysis has been performed for wave run-up and overtopping on a sloping seawall. A Monte-Carlo simulation was performed considering the uncertainties of various variables affecting the wave overtopping event. The wave overtopping probability was evaluated from the individual wave run-up by using the wave-by-wave method, while the mean overtopping rate was calculated directly from the significant wave height. Using the calculated overtopping probability and mean overtopping rate, the maximum overtopping volume was also calculated on the assumption of two-parameter Weibull distribution of individual wave overtopping volume. In addition, by changing wave directions, depths, and structure slopes, their effects on wave overtopping were analyzed. It was found that, when the variability of wave directions is considered or the water depth decreases toward shore, wave height become smaller due to wave refraction, which yields smaller mean overtopping rate, overtopping probability and maximum overtopping volume. For the same mean overtopping rate, the expected overtopping probability increases and the expected maximum overtopping volume decreases as approaching toward shore inside surfzone.

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