위험인식모형과 원자력위험 -심리측정패러다임 검증 및 적용-

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The purposes of this study are to test the reliability and validity of psychometric paradigm and to examine characteristics of nuclear risks, structure of nuclear risk perception and factors influencing nuclear risk perception. The analyses indicate that the validity and reliability of psychometric paradigm are high. The higher order factor analyses reveal that the fit indices of the psychometric paradigm are high. The results suggest a good fit to the data. The overall results of nuclear risks show that the sample rates the nuclear risks as more serious risks than other social risks. In a two-factor dimension-“unknown risk” and “dread risk”, the sample indicates the similarities and differences in the perceptions of nuclear risks. Comparing the nuclear risks in the unknown dimension, the sample regards transportation nuclear materials and radioactive waste disposal as relatively unknown, while nuclear power plant, nuclear weapon, nuclear weapon test, nuclear reactor accident are evaluated as relatively known risks. Based on the results, the potential implications for effective nuclear risk policy are also discussed.

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 차용진, "환경위험인식 비교분석과 정책적 함의" 35 (35): 127-142, 2001

2 남궁근, "행정조사방법론" 법문사 2009

3 민재형, "지식경영의 역량, 활동, 성과에 관한 실증연구" 한국고객만족경영학회 6 (6): 123-156, 2004

4 차용진, "위험인식과 위험분석의 정책적 함의: 수도권 일반주민을 중심으로" 한국정책학회 16 (16): 97-116, 2007

5 이군희, "사회과학연구방법론" 법문사 2001

6 배병렬, "구조방정식의모델의 이해와 활용" 대경 2002

7 Beck, U, "World Risk Society" Polity Press 1998

8 Slovic, P, "What’s Fear Got to Do with It? It’s Affect We Need to Worry about" 69 : 971-990, 2004

9 von Neumann, J., "Theory of Games and Economic Behavior" Princeton University 1947

10 Covello, V., "The Perception of Technological Risks: A Literature Review" 23 : 285-297, 1983

11 Slovic, P., "The Perception of Risk" Earthscan 2000

12 Whitfield, S., "The Future of Nuclear Power: Value Orientations and Risk Perception" 29 (29): 425-437, 2009

13 Tversky, A., "The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice" 211 (211): 1453-1458, 1981

14 Mullet, E., "The Evaluative Factor of Risk Perception" 23 : 1594-1605, 1993

15 Slovic, P., "Terrorism as Hazard: A Specicies of Trouble" 22 (22): 425-426, 2002

16 Steiger, J. H, "Structural Model Evaluation and Modification: An Interval Estimation Approach" 25 : 173-180, 1990

17 Joreskog, K. G., "Structural Equation Modeling with the SIMPLIS Command Language" Scientific Software International Inc 1993

18 Leamer, E., "Specification Searches: Ad Hoc Inference with Nonexterimental Data" Wiley 1978

19 Krimsky, S, "Social Theories of Risk" Praeger Publishers 1992

20 Bentler, P. M, "Significance Tests and Goodness of Fit in the Analysis of Covariance Structures" 88 : 588-606, 1980

21 Slovic, P., "Risk as Feeling: Some Thoughts about Affect, Reason, Risk & Rationality, In The Ethics of Technological Risk" Earthscan 2008

22 Sjoberg, L., "Risk Perception is Not What It Seems: The Psychological Paradigm Revisited" 2003

23 Cha, Y. J., "Risk Perception in Korea: An Application of Psychometric Paradigm" 1 (1): 42-51, 2000

24 Cha, Y. J., "Risk Perception in Korea: A Comparison with Japan and the United States" 3 (3): 321-332, 2000

25 Jenkin, C., "Risk Perception and Terrorism: Applying the Psychological Paradigm" 2 : 1-14, 2006

26 Slovic, P., "Risk Perception and Affect" 15 (15): 322-325, 2006

27 차용진, "Risk Perception and Acceptance: Theoretical Development Policy Implications" 한국정부학회 17 (17): 995-1034, 2005

28 Carmines, E. G, "Reliability and Validity Assessment" Sage 1979

29 Slovic, P., "Rating the Risks" 21 (21): 14-20, 1979

30 Gardner, G. T., "Public Perceptions of Risks and Benefits of Technology" 9 : 225-242, 1989

31 Boemer, V., "Public Perception After the Nuclear Accident in Fukusima: A Case with University Students" 2011

32 Slovic, P., "Psychological Study of Human Judgment: Implications for Investment Decision Making" 2 : 160-172, 2001

33 Edward, W., "Probability-Preferences in Gambling" 66 : 349-364, 1953

34 Edward, W., "Probability Preferences among the Bets with Differing Expected Values" 66 : 56-67, 1954

35 Slovic, P., "Perilous Progress: Managing the Hazards of Technology. Boulder" Westview Press 1985

36 Slovic, P., "Perception of Risk: Reflection on the Psychometric Paradigm, In Social Theories of Risk" Praeger 1992

37 Slovic, P., "Perception of Risk" 236 : 280-285, 1987

38 Lai, J, "Perception of Environmental Hazards in Hong Kong Chinese" 23 (23): 669-684, 2003

39 Joreskog, K. G, "PRELIS 2. User's Reference Guide" Scientific Software International Inc 1996

40 Hair, J. F., "Multivariate Data Analysis with Readings" Pretice Hall 1995

41 Slovic, P., "Modeling the Societal Impact of Fatal Accidents" 30 (30): 464-474, 1984

42 Pedhazur, E. J., "Measurment, Design and Analysis: An Integrated Approach" Lawrence Erlbaum Associates 1991

43 Mumpower, J. L, "LLRW Disposal Facility Siting: Success and Failures in Six Countries" Kluwer Academic Publishers 1994

44 Joreskog, K. G., "LISREL 8 User's Reference Guide" Scientific Software International Inc 1996

45 Tversky, A, "Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases" 185 : 1124-1132, 1974

46 Kahneman, D, "Judgment under Uncertainty: Heristics and Biases" Cambridge University Press 1982

47 Slovic, P., "Informing and Educating the Public Anout Risk" 6 : 403-416, 1986

48 Fischhoff, B, "How Safe is Safe Enough? A Psychometric Study of Attitudes Towards Technological Risks and Benefits" 9 : 225-242, 1978

49 Frane, J. W, "Factor Analysis as a Tool for Data Analysis" 4 : 487-506, 1976

50 Marris, C., "Exploring the Psychometric Paradigm: Comparisons Between Aggregate and Individual Analyses" 17 : 303-312, 1997

51 Mulaik, S. A., "Evaluation of Goodness-of-Fit Indices for Structural Equation Models" 105 : 430-445, 1989

52 Davidson, D, "Decision Making: An Experimental Approach" Stanford University Press 1957

53 Renn, O., "Cross-Cultural Risk Perception: A Survey of Empirical Studies" Kluwer Academic Press 2000

54 Coombs, C. H., "Components of Risk in Decision Making: Probability and Variance Preferences" 60 : 256-277, 1960

55 Bentler, P. M, "Comparative Fit Indexes. Psychological Bulletin" 107 : 238-246, 1990

56 James, L. R., "Causal Analysis: Assumptions, Models and Data" Sage 1982

57 Slovic, "Can International Law Genocide When Our Moral Intuitions Fail Us?, In Behavior and Policy" Earthscan 2009

58 Slovic, P, "Behavioral Decision Theory Perspectives on Risk and Safety" 56 : 183-203, 1984

59 Tversky, A., "Availability: A Heuristic for Judging Frequency and Probability" 4 : 207-232, 1973

60 Mosteller, F., "An Experimental Measurement of Utility" 59 : 371-404, 1951

61 Browne, M. W., "Alternative Ways of Assessing Model Fit, In Testing Structural Equation Models" Sage 1993

62 Slovic, P., "Affect, Reason, and Mere Hunches" 4 (4): 191-211, 2007

63 김계수, "AMOS 구조방정식 모형분석" SPSS 아카데미 2004

64 Siegrist, M., "A New Look at the Psychometric Paradigm of Perception of Hazards" 25 : 211-222, 2005

65 Gregory, R., "A Hint of Risk: Tradeoffs Between Quantitative and Qualitative Risk Factors" 14 : 199-206, 1994

66 Schumacker, R. E., "A Beginner's Guide to Structural Equation Modeling"