한국 프로야구 경기결과에 관한 통계적 연구 = A Statistical Study on Korean Baseball League Games

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

There are a variety of methods to model game results and many methods exist for the case of paired comparison data. Among them, the Bradley-Terry model is the most widely used to derive a latent preference scale from paired comparison data. It has been applied in a variety of fields in psychology and related disciplines. We applied this model to the data of Korean Baseball League. It shows that the loglinear Bradley-Terry model of defensive rate and save is optimal in terms of AIC. Also some categorical characteristics, such as east team and west team, existence of golden glove winning players, team(s) with seasonal pitching leader, and team(s) with home advantage, influenced the game result significantly. As a result, the suggested models can be further utilized to predict future game results.

참고문헌 (Reference)

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