사회계정행렬을 이용한 수자원분야 정책 효과 분석

국문 초록 (Abstract)

본 논문은 수자원 정책이 우리 경제에 미치는 파급 효과를 추정하기 위해 사회계정행렬을 적용한 연구이다. 수자원부문의 사회계정행렬 작성에는『2009년 산업연관표』와『2009년 국민계정』,『2009년 가계소비실태조사』 등의 통계 자료 등이 활용되었다. 승수분석을 이용하여 수자원부문의 정책 효과를 추정한 결과, 1) 총산출 승수 효과는 5.300∼7.741, 2) 부가가치 승수 효과는 0.685∼1.158, 3) 가계소득 승수 효과는 0.511∼0.984, 4)가계소득 재분배 승수 효과는 -0.096∼0.247과 같았다. 본 연구결과는 수자원부문이 우리나라 경제 및 가계에 미치는 효과를 분석하는 데 있어 유의미하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This paper analyses the economic effects of the water industry on the Korean economy by using Social Accounting Matrix(SAM). The SAM is constructed based on the Input-Output table, National account and Family income and expenditure survey for Korea in 2009. Through the SAM multiplier analysis, I estimate the effects of water investment. As the results, this study has found the followings. i) output multiplier effects of water sector are 5.300∼7.741, ii) value added multiplier effects of water sector are 0.685∼1.158, iii) income multiplier effects of water sector are 0.511∼0.984, iv) redistributed income multiplier effects of water sector are -0.096∼0.247. The results indicate that a significant influence on the industrial production and the household income in Korea.

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