중단기 미래 통일환경 전망 및 한반도 시사점

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

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목차 (Table of Contents)

• 1. 서론
• 1) 연구 배경과 목적
• 2) 연구 범위 및 방법
• 3) 연구 추진 체계 ················································································································7
• 2. 21세기 환경변화의 특징 ································································································12
• 1) 초불확실성 시대의 도래 ····························································································12
• 2) 돌발 변수(X-event)와 파급 효과 ············································································17
• 3. 중장기 미래 변화 전망: Global Megatrend ······························································36
• 1) 사회(Society) 영역 ·········································································································36
• 2) 기술(Technology) 영역 ·····························································································38
• 3) 경제(Economy) 영역 ·································································································44
• 4) 군사(Military) 영역 ······································································································47
• 5) 정치(Politic) 영역 ··········································································································48
• 6) 인구(Population) 영역 ···································································································51
• 7) 환경(Environment) 영역 ·······························································································52
• 8) 자원(Resources) 영역 ·································································································56
• 4. 중단기 변화 전망: 국내 이슈 ·····················································································62
• 1) 사회(Society) 영역 ·······································································································62
• 2) 기술(Technology) 영역 ·································································································71
• 3) 경제(Economy) 영역 ···································································································81
• 4) 자원(Resource) 영역 ···································································································88
• 5) 환경(Environment) 영역 ·······························································································94
• 6) 정치(Politic) 영역 ········································································································97
• 7) 인구(Population) 영역 ·······························································································100
• 8) 군사(Military) 영역 ····································································································105
• 5. 미래 한반도 평화 조성을 위한 정책 아젠다
• 1) STEMPPER 별 정책 아젠다
• 2) 불확실성과 급변 상황에 대비한 정책 아젠다