농축수산물 수입개방 순서에 관한 연구 = The Order of Import Liberalization for Agrofishery Products

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Unlike the developed countries, Korea has protected her agrofishery industries by preventing the import from abroad. Such a policy is likely to lead to both the destruction of basic infrastructure of agrofishery industries and the wild fluctuation in the domestic prices, if the proceeding Uruguay Round negotiations come to a settlement.
Uruguay Round negotiations, which broke down since the Brussel ministerial meeting, was back on track last February. But there has been no progress toward a negotiated solution, as the U.S., E.C., and Japan refuse to budge from their original stand. It will take much time to reach an agreement in detail in the negotiations. In the case of settlement, furthermore, a graceperiod of 10 years or more will be allowed.
In view of the recent situation in U.R. negotiations, we must take some measures to cope with. The desirable measures should employ the long-term and short-term countermeasures against the U.R. negotiations.
This paper, as a short-run countermeasure, tries to establish an indicator which shows the order of import priority. To establish the indicator, the model estimating the expected damage in opening domestic market was developed
Judging from the expected damages estimated, least items to be opened are rice, red-pepper, beef, soybean, pork, and garlic. Most of vegetable items and some of fruits were found to be attractive to open the markets as soon as possible. For the remaining items, it is desirable to delay the market opening for high-damaged items and to make opening earlier for low-darndged ones.