사회적 재난이 출생결과에 미치는 영향 : 삼풍백화점 붕괴사고 연구

국문 초록 (Abstract)

이 연구는 사회적 재난· 사고가 태아기 건강에 미치는 영향을 1995년 삼풍 백화점 붕괴라는 준 실험적 사례를 통하여 분석하였다. 경제학 선행 연구에서는 임신 초기에 유행병, 기근, 전쟁, 자연저해 등의 유해환경에 노출된 태아의 단·장기적 건강 상태가 악화됨을 밝힌 바 있으나, 테러를 제외한 인재(人災)의 영향은 아직 알려진 것이 없다.이중차분법(Difference-in-Difference)을 통해 통계청 인구동향 총조사 데이터를 분석한 결과, 태아 1주기에 삼풍백화점 붕괴사건을 경험한 코호트의 출생 체중은 감소하고 저체중아 확률은 증가하였으며, 이러한 결과는 서초구 출생시 더 크게 나타났다. 서초구 출생자를 성별에따라 나누어 분석하면, 여아는 1,2주기에 삼풍 사고를 경험한 코호트의 출생체중이 감소하며 정도가 강하게 나타나 기존 사례 연구와 유사한 결과를 보인다.이러한 두 가지 결과를 고려하여 볼 때, 삼풍 참사의 충격으로 인한 영향은 9/11 테러의 영향을 상회하며, 그로 인한 인적자본 손실 역시 상당할 것으로 보인다.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 제 1장 서 론 ···················································· 1
• 제 2장 연구 배경 ············································· 3
• 2.1 산모의 스트레스와 출생 결과··························· 3
• 2.2 삼풍백화점 붕괴사건 개요 ······························ 4
• 제 3장 데이터 및 방법론 ·································· 8
• 제 4장 결 과 ················································· 13
• 4.1 분석 결과 ················································ 13
• 4.2 강건성 점검 및 논의점 ································ 23
• 제 5장 결론 ··················································· 27
• 5.1 요약 및 의의 ············································ 27
• 5.2 한계점 ···················································· 29
• 참고문헌 ······················································· 31
• 부록 ····························································· 36
• Abstract ······················································· 42