Leadership and Commitment: The United States and the Future of the Northeast Asian Order

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Since the end of World War II, peace, prosperity, and democracy have flourished in Northeast Asia in large part due to the United States willingness to devote extraordinary resources and exert leadership through a series of bilateral commitments to the nations of the region. In the past two decades, crises in other parts of the world have captured U.S. attention and resources: in Eastern Europe after the fall of the Soviet Union and now in the Middle East. What are the consequences of these demands on how the United States envisions its future role in Northeast Asia? We assess these consequences by evaluating the strategies that the United States has elaborated for the region and how those strategies resonate with people in the United States and in the region. Our analysis focuses on two questions: How does the United States envision its role in Northeast Asia? Does the United States have the political will to bear the costs to fulfill this role? We argue that despite increased demands on its attention and resources, the United States remains firmly committed to its leadership role in the region and the U.S. centric security architecture of bilateral institutions. Multilateral institutions will remain relatively ineffective and inefficient in addressing the most pressing regional issues.

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