국가 간 항공여객수송량 변화추이와 결정요인에 관한 연구

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This paper analyzes yearly variation of the air passenger travel volume between Korea and foreign countries. Using aggregated data, yearly variation of the air passenger travel volume is analyzed. The paper includes some descriptive statistical analyses on time-series data of the international air passenger travel volume. The analysis is conducted on the period between the year 2002 and 2012. Furthermore, some direct air travel demand models are developed by panel regression analysis for finding factors affecting the air passenger travel volume of each international route connecting Korea. The analytical results are summarized as follows.
First, it is found that the air passenger travel volume for international routes connecting Korea had been increased between the year 2002 and 2012, excluding period between the year 2008 and 2009. Secondly, it is found that GDP or GDP per capita of origin and destination countries, amount of export/import between origin and destination countries, exchange rate, and the number of LCC routes(lines) between origin and destination countries are important factors affecting the air passenger travel volume between Korea and Asian countries. Thirdly, it is found that GDP of origin and destination countries, amount of export/import between origin and destination countries, and exchange rate are important factors affecting the air passenger travel volume between Korea and non-Asian countries.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Abstract
• 1. 서론
• 2. 국가 간 항공여객수송량의 변화추이 분석
• 3. 국가 간 항공여객수송량 결정요인 분석
• 4. 결론
• 참고문헌

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 김경숙, "항공 승객수요의 결정요인:방한 중국인을 중심으로" 한국관광학회 29 (29): 109-124, 2005

2 문진수, "아세안지역의 국가간 여객통행수요 추정모형 구축에 관한 연구" 대한교통학회 26 (26): 7-15, 2008

3 허남규, "다변량 시계열 모형을 이용한 항공 수요 예측 연구" 한국통계학회 22 (22): 1007-1017, 2009

4 박성식, "글로벌 금융위기 및 주요거시경제지표를 통해 살펴본 인천공항 여객수요 결정요인 분석" 한국항공진흥협회 (56) : 113-130, 2011

5 유혜미, "국내 주요 항공노선별 여객수송량 변화추이와 결정요인에 관한 연구" 국토연구원 78 : 71-89, 2013

6 홍미영, "교통수단에 따른 내국인 해외관광수요 결정요인 분석" 대한관광경영학회 25 (25): 179-195, 2010

7 이희연, "고급통계분석론" 법문사 2012

8 Alperovich, G., "The Role of Wealth in the Demand for International Air Travel" 28 (28): 163-173, 1994

9 Abed, S. Y., "An Econometric Analysis of International Air Travel Demand in Saudi Arabia" 7 (7): 143-148, 2001