관광서비스 산업의 서비스수출성과 결정요인에 관한 실증연구

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This paper is to set up the autoregressive distributed lag model in order to estimate the factor elasticity of industrial export and to analyze the determinants for the industrial export performance in the tourism service industries including retail·food ·lodging and transport·communication. The markup elasticities of export were estimated to be –0.368 and -0.355 respectively in retail·food·lodging and transport·communi- cation. The exchange rate elasticities of export were estimated to be 1.674 and 0.136 respectively. The import price index elasticities and interest elasticities were also estimated to be 0.162 and -0.663 in retail·food·lodging and -0.255 and 0.049 in transport·communication respectively. Thus the empirical result suggests that both import price index and interest rate have had more decisive effects on the industrial export performance in the tourism service industries, in particular, during the declining period in factor prices since the foreign currency crisis beginning in late 1997.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• ABSTRACT
• Ⅰ. 서론
• Ⅱ. 실증분석모형
• 1. 모형설정의 배경
• 2. ARDL(1,1) 추정모형
• 3. 자료의 출처와 분석
• 4. 시계열자료의 단위근 검정
• Ⅲ. 실증분석
• 1. ARDL(1,1)의 추정결과와 수출탄력도
• 2. 서비스수출의 결정요인분석
• Ⅳ. 결론
• 참고문헌

참고문헌 (Reference)

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