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DBpiaApples and pears are receiving relatively high attention compared to other agricultural products regarding whether or not to allow imports. As agricultural market liberalization measures such as the RCEP and the CPTPP progress, the possibility of lift...
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https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A108183513
- 저자
- 발행기관
- 학술지명
- 권호사항
-
발행연도
2022
-
작성언어
English
-
주제어
Country-of-origin ; Fruit imports ; Price prediction ; Consumer's preferences ; SPS ; 원산지 ; 과일 수입 ; 가격 예측 ; 소비자 선호도 ; 위생 및 식물위생 조치(SPS)
-
등재정보
KCI등재
-
자료형태
학술저널
- 발행기관 URL
-
수록면
327-347(21쪽)
-
KCI 피인용횟수
0
- DOI식별코드
- 제공처
-
0
상세조회 -
0
다운로드
인용문이 복사되었습니다.
부가정보
다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)
Apples and pears are receiving relatively high attention compared to other agricultural products regarding whether or not to allow imports. As agricultural market liberalization measures such as the RCEP and the CPTPP progress, the possibility of lifting SPS measures is also increasing, along with the need for corresponding research. As part of a proactive response to the lifting of SPS measures, this study intended to analyze the potential demand for apples and pears, which are items subject to import bans.
In this paper, it is estimated the potential prices that may occur when the SPS measures are lifted, focusing on major countries that could be import sources for apples and pears, and identified the preference for imported fruits by country of origin. As a result of the analysis, it is expected that prices of imported apples are 23.6% to 54.8% lower than for domestic apples. In the case of imported pears, the prices are expected to be 25.2% to 65.2% lower than for domestic pears. The estimated prices of the fruits were different according to their country of origin, and the ranges of price increase and decrease were different depending on the item. The analysis results imply that the preference for Asian fruits was relatively low, consumers preferred imported apples more than imported pears.
In this paper, it is estimated the potential prices that may occur when the SPS measures are lifted, focusing on major countries that could be import sources for apples and pears, and identified the preference for imported fruits by country of origin. As a result of the analysis, it is expected that prices of imported apples are 23.6% to 54.8% lower than for domestic apples. In the case of imported pears, the prices are expected to be 25.2% to 65.2% lower than for domestic pears. The estimated prices of the fruits were different according to their country of origin, and the ranges of price increase and decrease were different depending on the item. The analysis results imply that the preference for Asian fruits was relatively low, consumers preferred imported apples more than imported pears.
Apples and pears are receiving relatively high attention compared to other agricultural products regarding whether or not to allow imports. As agricultural market liberalization measures such as the RCEP and the CPTPP progress, the possibility of lifting SPS measures is also increasing, along with the need for corresponding research. As part of a proactive response to the lifting of SPS measures, this study intended to analyze the potential demand for apples and pears, which are items subject to import bans.
In this paper, it is estimated the potential prices that may occur when the SPS measures are lifted, focusing on major countries that could be import sources for apples and pears, and identified the preference for imported fruits by country of origin. As a result of the analysis, it is expected that prices of imported apples are 23.6% to 54.8% lower than for domestic apples. In the case of imported pears, the prices are expected to be 25.2% to 65.2% lower than for domestic pears. The estimated prices of the fruits were different according to their country of origin, and the ranges of price increase and decrease were different depending on the item. The analysis results imply that the preference for Asian fruits was relatively low, consumers preferred imported apples more than imported pears.
참고문헌 (Reference)
1 안태건 ; 김성룡, "한미 FTA 발효 후 무역구조 변화에 대한 분석" 한국통상정보학회 20 (20): 25-46, 2018
2 김준업 ; 김성용 ; 이용선, "주기함수 수요 모형에 의한 국내산 과일과 수입산 과일의 경합관계 분석" 한국농식품정책학회 43 (43): 305-327, 2016
3 한석호 ; 서홍석 ; 염정완, "일본산 배 SPS 수입금지 조치 해제의 사전분석" 한국산학기술학회 18 (18): 599-608, 2017
4 박현희, "우리나라 농산물 수입수요에 대한 실증분석" 한국통상정보학회 24 (24): 287-306, 2022
5 한석호 ; 염정완 ; 서홍석, "사과 SPS 수입금지 조치 해제의 경제적 효과 실증분석: 가격 격차(price-wedge) 방법론의 적용" 한국농촌경제연구원 39 (39): 49-77, 2016
6 권대영 ; 손민수 ; Hong Sok(Brian) Kim, "과실 병해충에 대한 공적방제조치의 가치분석" 한국농촌계획학회 20 (20): 67-76, 2014
7 Hanemann, W. M., "Welfare evaluations in contingent valuation experiments with discrete responses" 66 (66): 332-341, 1984
8 박현희, "WTO체제하에서 우리나라 개도국 지위에 관한 논의 동향과 향후 과제" 한국통상정보학회 22 (22): 245-264, 2020
9 UN Comtrade, "United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database"
10 Victor, D. G., "The sanitary and phytosanitary agreement of the World Trade Organization: An assessment after five years" 32 : 865-937, 1999
1 안태건 ; 김성룡, "한미 FTA 발효 후 무역구조 변화에 대한 분석" 한국통상정보학회 20 (20): 25-46, 2018
2 김준업 ; 김성용 ; 이용선, "주기함수 수요 모형에 의한 국내산 과일과 수입산 과일의 경합관계 분석" 한국농식품정책학회 43 (43): 305-327, 2016
3 한석호 ; 서홍석 ; 염정완, "일본산 배 SPS 수입금지 조치 해제의 사전분석" 한국산학기술학회 18 (18): 599-608, 2017
4 박현희, "우리나라 농산물 수입수요에 대한 실증분석" 한국통상정보학회 24 (24): 287-306, 2022
5 한석호 ; 염정완 ; 서홍석, "사과 SPS 수입금지 조치 해제의 경제적 효과 실증분석: 가격 격차(price-wedge) 방법론의 적용" 한국농촌경제연구원 39 (39): 49-77, 2016
6 권대영 ; 손민수 ; Hong Sok(Brian) Kim, "과실 병해충에 대한 공적방제조치의 가치분석" 한국농촌계획학회 20 (20): 67-76, 2014
7 Hanemann, W. M., "Welfare evaluations in contingent valuation experiments with discrete responses" 66 (66): 332-341, 1984
8 박현희, "WTO체제하에서 우리나라 개도국 지위에 관한 논의 동향과 향후 과제" 한국통상정보학회 22 (22): 245-264, 2020
9 UN Comtrade, "United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database"
10 Victor, D. G., "The sanitary and phytosanitary agreement of the World Trade Organization: An assessment after five years" 32 : 865-937, 1999
11 Crivelli, P., "The impact of sanitary and phytosanitary measures on market entry and trade flows" 39 (39): 444-473, 2016
12 KOSIS, "Survey on Labor Conditions by Employment Type"
13 Hensher, D. A., "Stated preference analysis of travel choices : the state of practice" 21 (21): 107-133, 1994
14 Haab, T. C., "Referendum models and economic values: theoretical, intuitive, and practical bounds on willingness to pay" 74 (74): 216-229, 1998
15 Vasylieva, N., "Production and trade patterns in the world apple market" 17 (17): 16-25, 2021
16 KATI, "Price Information"
17 KAMIS, "Performance by period"
18 USTR, "National Trade Estimate Report on Foreign Trade Barriers"
19 APQA, "Imported Plant Quarantine Procedure"
20 Yun, J., "Fruit supply and demand trend and outlook, Agricultural Outlook 2021 Korea" Korea Rural Economic Institute 549-642, 2021
21 Green, C., "Exploring the social value of health-care interventions : a stated preference discrete choice experiment" 18 (18): 951-976, 2009
22 Suh, D., "Evaluation of seafood traceability system in Korea: demand-oriented analysis" 9 (9): 150-154, 2020
23 OECD, "Education at a Glance 2021: OECD Indicators" OECD Publishing 2021
24 Hanemann, W. M., "Discrete/continuous models of consumer demand" 541-561, 1984
25 Boyle, K. J., "Dichotomous-choice, contingent-valuation questions: Functional form is important" 19 (19): 125-131, 1990
26 Lee, Y. S., "Analysis of changes in fruits consumption patterns and their reasons: focused on the effects of imported fruits" Korean Rural Economic Institute 1-149, 2014
27 Champ, P. A., "A primer on nonmarket valuation" Springer 59-98, 2003
28 Flores, N. E., "A primer on nonmarket valuation" Springer 27-54, 2003
29 KATI, "2020 Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Import & Export & Statistics"
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