In this thesis, uncertainty estimation is performed under distributional shifts. The goal of uncertainty estimation is to create reliable deep learning models which can yield a confidence value with its prediction. Although several studies have been c...
In this thesis, uncertainty estimation is performed under distributional shifts. The goal of uncertainty estimation is to create reliable deep learning models which can yield a confidence value with its prediction. Although several studies have been con- ducted to quantify uncertainty in the deep learning models, recent studies have demon- strated that the quality of uncertainty estimated using some traditional methods de- grades in dataset shift situations. In this paper, we propose Contrastive Normalizing Flow, a robust uncertainty estimation model under distributional shifts. The proposed model estimates uncertainty in a latent space; An encoder trained with contrastive learning maps images into the latent space. Then, a generative classifier models a pre- dictive distribution with normalizing flows. In addition to this, distributionally robust optimization is applied to the proposed model to improve a performance of out-of- distribution detection. Two types of shifts are considered in experiments: covariate shift and out-of-distribution. For these types of shifts, the experiments empirically demonstrate that the proposed model improves the robustness of the classifier under distributional shifts.