우리나라의 대중국 수출 영향요인 분석 = A Study on Export Korean Firm into China

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The purpose of this paper is to study on export factor of Korean into China by 31 Province and City. Using the panel data on Korean export factor in China for the years 1998-2005, we examined the factors determinants of import in China(by region)from Korean firms. This study based on Gravity Model to extend and fixed & random effect Model. The result of analysis is as follows : The effect of significant on Import from Korean is FDI from Korea, export into world , import from world, population in region. But per GRDP, consumption, FDI into world variable is statistically insignificant. Also coastal region variable is not a clear.

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 이홍식, "한국의 대중국 직접투자 결정요인 분석" 대외경제정책연구원 8 (8): 257-290, 2004

2 손찬현, "중력모형에 기초한 한국의 교역패턴 및 지역경제권의 영향" KIEP 2000

3 "중국경제 DB 각 년도 자료" 한국무역협회 무역연구소

4 "중국 해관통계 각 년도 자료"

5 "중국 청해도의 소비품 시장수요에 대한 분석" 중국산업연구망 2007.

6 한국은행, "중국 수출이 우리나라 수출에 미치는 영향" 2006.

7 이재우, "우리나라 수출의 패턴 및 결정요소의 변화 분석" 2005.

8 "미중일 수출시장에서의 국별 경쟁현황 분석" 무역연구소 2004.

9 Evenett, "On theories Explaining the Success of the Gravity Equation" 110 : 2002

10 Bloom, David E, "Geography, Demography, and Economic Growth in Africa" HIID 1998.

11 Gallup, John, "Geography and Economic Development" (1) : 1999.

12 이창수, "FDI와 무역의 상호연계성에 관한 연구" 대외경제정책연구 원 02 (02): 2002.

13 "Does Trade Raise Income? Evidence from the Twentieth Century." Cambridge, Massachusetts : National Bureau of Economic Research (7747) : 2000

14 Frankel, Jeffrey, "Does Trade Cause Growth?" 89 : 1999.

15 Deardoff V. Alan, "Determinants of Bilateral Trade : Does Gravity Work in a Neoclassic World?" National Bureau of Economic Research 5377 : 1995.

16 Brainard, S. L., "An Empirical Assessment of the Proximity-Concentration Trade-Off between Multinational Sales and Trade" 87 (87): 1997.

17 국부론, "Adam Smith. An Inquiry into The Nature and Causes of The Wealth of Nation" 1776-,