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      출산 계획과 출산 행위 간 연관성 분석과 시사점 = Association between Birth Plans and Subsequent Birth Behavior and Its Implications

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A106280147

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      Recent research on ‘fertility gap’ emphasizes that understanding the relationship between birth plans and subsequent birth outcomes is crucial in enhancing the effectiveness of policy intervention. Using the Korean Longitudinal Survey of Women & Family (KLoWF), this study explores the relationship between birth plans and behavior and its implications. The data indicate that respondents’ demographic characteristics, such as age and parity, play a key role in birth plans and subsequent birth outcomes. Despite delayed fertility timing, substantial portion of women whose fertility intention was uncertain at the baseline also give subsequent birth outcomes through marriage. This study also finds that women with higher age at marriage are more likely to plan to have additional childbearing but that the chances of realizing their birth intention tend to be lower, compared to those women whose age at marriage is lower.
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      Recent research on ‘fertility gap’ emphasizes that understanding the relationship between birth plans and subsequent birth outcomes is crucial in enhancing the effectiveness of policy intervention. Using the Korean Longitudinal Survey of Women & F...

      Recent research on ‘fertility gap’ emphasizes that understanding the relationship between birth plans and subsequent birth outcomes is crucial in enhancing the effectiveness of policy intervention. Using the Korean Longitudinal Survey of Women & Family (KLoWF), this study explores the relationship between birth plans and behavior and its implications. The data indicate that respondents’ demographic characteristics, such as age and parity, play a key role in birth plans and subsequent birth outcomes. Despite delayed fertility timing, substantial portion of women whose fertility intention was uncertain at the baseline also give subsequent birth outcomes through marriage. This study also finds that women with higher age at marriage are more likely to plan to have additional childbearing but that the chances of realizing their birth intention tend to be lower, compared to those women whose age at marriage is lower.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 류기철, "한국여성의 출산율 변화와 출산간격 영향요인" 한국인구학회 32 (32): 1-23, 2009

      2 정혜은, "취업여부에 따른 기혼여성의 둘째자녀 출산의도" 한국인구학회 31 (31): 147-164, 2008

      3 우해봉, "출산에 대한 개인 특성과 부부 특성의 영향" 한국인구학회 40 (40): 79-105, 2017

      4 이성용, "출산순위별 출산증가 요인 분석" 한국인구학회 32 (32): 51-70, 2009

      5 민현주, "출산순위별 출산결정요인 분석" 한국사회학회 45 (45): 198-222, 2011

      6 저출산·고령사회위원회, "저출산·고령사회 정책 로드맵" 저출산·고령사회위원회 2018

      7 정성호, "저출산 정책의 효과성에 관한 연구" 한국인구학회 35 (35): 31-52, 2012

      8 민현주, "엄마의 취업과 자녀터울에 관한 동태적 분석" 한국사회학회 41 (41): 106-126, 2007

      9 박수미, "둘째 출산 계획의 결정요인과 가족내 성 형평성" 한국인구학회 31 (31): 59-77, 2008

      10 김정석, "기혼여성의 출산아수별 추가출산계획" 30 (30): 97-116, 2007

      1 류기철, "한국여성의 출산율 변화와 출산간격 영향요인" 한국인구학회 32 (32): 1-23, 2009

      2 정혜은, "취업여부에 따른 기혼여성의 둘째자녀 출산의도" 한국인구학회 31 (31): 147-164, 2008

      3 우해봉, "출산에 대한 개인 특성과 부부 특성의 영향" 한국인구학회 40 (40): 79-105, 2017

      4 이성용, "출산순위별 출산증가 요인 분석" 한국인구학회 32 (32): 51-70, 2009

      5 민현주, "출산순위별 출산결정요인 분석" 한국사회학회 45 (45): 198-222, 2011

      6 저출산·고령사회위원회, "저출산·고령사회 정책 로드맵" 저출산·고령사회위원회 2018

      7 정성호, "저출산 정책의 효과성에 관한 연구" 한국인구학회 35 (35): 31-52, 2012

      8 민현주, "엄마의 취업과 자녀터울에 관한 동태적 분석" 한국사회학회 41 (41): 106-126, 2007

      9 박수미, "둘째 출산 계획의 결정요인과 가족내 성 형평성" 한국인구학회 31 (31): 59-77, 2008

      10 김정석, "기혼여성의 출산아수별 추가출산계획" 30 (30): 97-116, 2007

      11 정은희, "기혼여성의 둘째자녀 출산계획 및 출산과 관련된 요인" 한국보건사회연구원 33 (33): 5-34, 2013

      12 은기수, "결혼연령 및 결혼코호트와 첫 출산간격의 관계: 최근의 낮은 출산력 수준에 미치는 함의를 중심으로" 35 (35): 105-139, 2001

      13 Hakim, C, "Whither the Child?: Causes and Consequences of Low Fertility" Paradigm Publishers 177-204, 2013

      14 Blinder, A. S, "Wage Discrimination, Reduced Form and Structural Variables" 8 : 436-455, 1973

      15 Ni Bhrolchain, M, "Uncertainty in fertility intentions in Bratain, 1979-2007" 9 : 99-129, 2011

      16 Philipov, D, "Theories on fertility intentions: A demographer’s perspective" 9 : 37-45, 2011

      17 Ajzen, I, "The theory of planned behavior" 50 (50): 179-211, 1991

      18 Goldstein, J, "The emergence of sub-replacement family size ideals in Europe" 22 (22): 479-496, 2003

      19 Fairlie, R. W, "The Absence of the African-American Owned Business, An Analysis of the Dynamics of Self-Employment" 17 (17): 80-108, 1999

      20 The Center for Reproductive Rights, "Rethinking population policies: A reproductive rights framework"

      21 Philipov, D, "Reproductive Decision-Making in a Macro-Micro Perspective" Springer 2015

      22 Speder, Z, "Reproductive Decision-Making in Macro-Micro Perspective" Springer 79-112, 2015

      23 Liefbroer, A. C, "Reproductive Decision-Making in Macro-Micro Perspective" Springer 1-15, 2015

      24 United Nations (UN), "Report of the International Conference on Population and Development" United Nations 1995

      25 Vatali, A, "Preference theory and low fertility:A comparative perspective" 25 (25): 413-438, 2009

      26 Berrington, A, "Perpetual postponers? Women’s, men’s and couple’s fertility intentions and subsequent fertility behavior" 117 : 9-19, 2004

      27 Morgan, S. P, "Parity-specific fertility intentions and uncertainty -the United States, 1970 to 1976" 19 (19): 315-334, 1982

      28 Oaxaca, R, "On Discrimination and the Decomposition of Wage Differentials" 61 : 5-21, 1994

      29 Quesnel-Vallee, A, "Missing the target? Correspondence of fertility intentions and behavior in the U.S" 22 (22): 497-525, 2003

      30 Oaxaca, R, "Male-Female Wage Differentials in Urban Labor Markets" 14 : 693-709, 1973

      31 Morgan, S. P, "Is the theory of planned behavior an appropriate model for human fertility" 9 : 11-18, 2011

      32 Morgan, S. P, "Intention and uncertainty at later stages of childbearing: The United States 1965 and 1970" 18 (18): 267-285, 1981

      33 Speder, Z, "How are time-dependent childbearing intentions realized? Realization, postponement, abandonment, bringing forward" 25 : 503-523, 2009

      34 Ajzen, I, "Fertility intentions: An approach based on the theory of planned behavior" 29 (29): 203-232, 2013

      35 Philipov, D, "Fertility intentions and outcomes: The role of policies to close the gap" 25 (25): 355-361, 2009

      36 Toulemon, L, "Fertility intentions and actual fertility: A complex relationship" 415 : 1-4, 2005

      37 Gauthier, A. H, "Fertility Rates and Population Decline: No Time for Children" Palgrave Macmillian 269-287, 2013

      38 Testa, M. R, "Family formation in France: Individual preferences and subsequent outcomes" 4 : 41-75, 2006

      39 Berrington, A, "Educational differences in fertility desires, intentions and behavior: A life course perspective" 21 : 10-27, 2014

      40 Schoen, R, "Do fertility intentions affect fertility behavior?" 61 (61): 790-799, 1999

      41 Thomson, E, "Couple childbearing plans and births in Sweden" 35 (35): 315-322, 1998

      42 Thomson, E, "Couple childbearing desires, intentions and births" 34 (34): 343-354, 1997

      43 EC, "Confronting demographic change: A new solidarity between the generations(Green Paper)" Commission of the European Communities 2005

      44 Liefbroer, A. C, "Change in family size intention across young adulthood: A life-course perspective" 25 (25): 363-386, 2009

      45 Heiland, F, "Are individuals’ desired family sizes stable? Evidence from West German panel data" 24 (24): 129-156, 2008

      46 Fairlie, R. W, "An extension of the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition technique to logit and probit models" 30 (30): 305-316, 2005

      47 Lutz, W, "Adaptation versus mitigation policies on demographic change in Europe" 2007 : 19-26, 2007

      48 통계청, "2017년 인구동태통계연보(총괄·출생·사망편)" 통계청 2018

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