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      KCI등재 SCOPUS

      The Cost of Non-maghreb Achieving the Gains from Economic Integration = The Cost of Non-maghreb Achieving the Gains from Economic Integration

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A87031345

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      The purpose of this paper is to estimate the impact of the integration of Maghreb countries into a free trade area on the main macroeconomic aggregates. By using the MIRAGE model and MacMap database, we tested different scenarios to estimate the gains or the potential losses of various plans of trade integration (Free trade area for the Maghreb countries, Custom Union between Maghreb countries, Maghreban Common Market). Our study suggests that the overall gains from liberalizing trade in goods (and removing various regulatory non-tariff barriers in the process) could reach at least USD 350 million. The increase in revenue through increases in production and wages would positively affect welfare levels for Maghreb consumers. The dynamic gains from liberalizing trade in goods can outstrip the static gains, with productivity improvements as the main driver. Our analysis shows that the creation of a common market is probably the most interesting and efficient option for the Maghreb countries.
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      The purpose of this paper is to estimate the impact of the integration of Maghreb countries into a free trade area on the main macroeconomic aggregates. By using the MIRAGE model and MacMap database, we tested different scenarios to estimate the gains...

      The purpose of this paper is to estimate the impact of the integration of Maghreb countries into a free trade area on the main macroeconomic aggregates. By using the MIRAGE model and MacMap database, we tested different scenarios to estimate the gains or the potential losses of various plans of trade integration (Free trade area for the Maghreb countries, Custom Union between Maghreb countries, Maghreban Common Market). Our study suggests that the overall gains from liberalizing trade in goods (and removing various regulatory non-tariff barriers in the process) could reach at least USD 350 million. The increase in revenue through increases in production and wages would positively affect welfare levels for Maghreb consumers. The dynamic gains from liberalizing trade in goods can outstrip the static gains, with productivity improvements as the main driver. Our analysis shows that the creation of a common market is probably the most interesting and efficient option for the Maghreb countries.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 Kehoe, "“A primer on static applied general equilibriummodels Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis" 1994

      2 Dessus, S, "Towards Arab and Euro-Med Regional Integration" Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris 2001

      3 Femise Network, "The Impact of EU Enlargement on the Mediterranean Partners" 2003

      4 Bchir, M. H, "The Impact of EU Enlargement on Member States: a CGE Approach" 2003

      5 Zarrouk, J, "The Greater Arab Free Trade Area: Limits and Possibilities" 2000

      6 Fawzy S., "The Economics and Politics of Arab Economic Integration" Brookings Institution Press and ECES 2003

      7 Devlin, J, "Testing the Waters: Arab Integration, Competitiveness, and the Euro-Med Agreements" 2001

      8 Chan, K. K, "Risk, Instability and the Pattern of Foreign Direct Investment in the Middle East and North Africa Region" 2004

      9 Frankel, J. A., "Regional Trading Blocs in the World Economic System" Washington: Institute for International Economics 1997

      10 Bloomstrom, M, "Regional Integration and FDI" 1997

      1 Kehoe, "“A primer on static applied general equilibriummodels Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis" 1994

      2 Dessus, S, "Towards Arab and Euro-Med Regional Integration" Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris 2001

      3 Femise Network, "The Impact of EU Enlargement on the Mediterranean Partners" 2003

      4 Bchir, M. H, "The Impact of EU Enlargement on Member States: a CGE Approach" 2003

      5 Zarrouk, J, "The Greater Arab Free Trade Area: Limits and Possibilities" 2000

      6 Fawzy S., "The Economics and Politics of Arab Economic Integration" Brookings Institution Press and ECES 2003

      7 Devlin, J, "Testing the Waters: Arab Integration, Competitiveness, and the Euro-Med Agreements" 2001

      8 Chan, K. K, "Risk, Instability and the Pattern of Foreign Direct Investment in the Middle East and North Africa Region" 2004

      9 Frankel, J. A., "Regional Trading Blocs in the World Economic System" Washington: Institute for International Economics 1997

      10 Bloomstrom, M, "Regional Integration and FDI" 1997

      11 Nabli, M, "Reforms and Growth in MENA Countries: New Empirical Evidence" 2004

      12 Oulmane, N, "Partenariat EUROMED et Approfondissement de l’Integration Sud-Sud" (22) : 2002

      13 Grossman, "North Holland" 1995

      14 Adams, P, "Medium and Long Run Consequences for Australia of an APEC Free-Trade Area: CGE Analyses Using the GTAP and MONASH Models" 3 (3): 19-42, 1997

      15 Bouet. A, "Market Access Maps: A Bilateral and Disaggregated Measure of Market Access" (1-18) : 2002

      16 Nabli, M, "Managing Global Integration in the Middle East and North Africa" Trade Policy Developments in the Middle East and North Africa 2000

      17 Bchir, M, "MIRAGE, a Computable General Equilibrium Model for Trade Policy Analysis" 2002

      18 Achy, L, "Le commerce en Afrique du nord: Evaluation du potentiel de l’integration Regionale en Afrique du nord" 2006

      19 Fontagne L, "Intra-Industry Trade and the Single market: Quality Matters" (1959) : 1998

      20 Al-Atrash, H, "Intra-Arab Trade: Is It Too Little?" Washington: International Monetary Fund 2000

      21 Hoekman, B, "Initial Conditions and Incentives for Arab Economic Integration: Can the European Community’s Success be Emulated?" (2921) : 2002

      22 Galal, A, "Incentives for Economic Integration in the Middle East" Washington:World Bank 2000

      23 Hoekman, B, "Harnessing Trade for Development in the Middle East and North Africa" New York: Council on Foreign Relations 2001

      24 Greenaway, D, "Geography, Comparative Advantage and Trade within Industries: Evidence from the OECD" 15 : 260-280, 2000

      25 "Firms′ Competitive and National Comparative Advantages as JointDeterminants of Trade Composition" -97,

      26 Yeats, A., "Export Prospects of Middle Eastern Countries: A Post-Uruguay Round Analysis" 85-128, 1998

      27 Harfi, M, "Evolution du commerce exterieur et justement des emplois : le role de l′intra-branche et de la qualite des produits" 48 (48):

      28 Frankel, J. A, "Estimating the Effect of Currency Unions on Trade and Output" Cambridge, Massachusetts: National Bureau of Economic Research (7857) : 2000

      29 Anderson, K., "Environmental and Labor Standards: What Role for the WTO?" Chicago and London, University of Chicago Press 3 : 1998

      30 ECA, "Economic and Social Conditions in North Africa: A Mid-Decade Assessment" report by the ECA North African Sub Regional Office 2006

      31 Yeats, A, "Beyond the Year 2000: Implications of theMiddle East’s Recent Trade Performance" 2000

      32 De Rosa, Dean A, "Agricultural Trade and Rural Development in the Middle East and North Africa" Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press 45-80, 2000

      33 Van der Mensbrugghe D, "A (preliminary) Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol: Using the OECD GREEN Model" Economic Modeling of Climate Change, OCDE, Paris 173-204, 1998

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
      2023 평가예정 해외DB학술지평가 신청대상 (해외등재 학술지 평가)
      2020-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (해외등재 학술지 평가) KCI등재
      2011-06-07 학회명변경 한글명 : 국제경제연구소 -> 경제통합연구소
      영문명 : Center for International Economics -> Journal of Economic Integration
      KCI등재
      2010-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2008-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2006-01-01 평가 등재 1차 FAIL (등재유지) KCI등재
      2004-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2001-07-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      1999-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 선정 (신규평가) KCI등재후보
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      학술지 인용정보

      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.11 0.11 0.13
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.13 0.11 0.279 0.03
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