OECD 15개국 중고령 남성의 취업률 결정요인

국문 초록 (Abstract)

본 연구는 1980~2005년 OECD 15개국 중고령 남성의 취업률 추이 및 취업률 결정요인을 분석하여 중고령 남성의 노동시장참여를 지원할 수 있는 방안을 살펴보고자 한다. 자료는 OECD, ILO, LIS 이다. 분석은 노동시장참여의 상태의존성과 패널개체의 이질성을 반영한 동적패널모형으로서, 도구변수를 사용한 Arellano and Bonds(1981)의 차분 GMM으로 하였다. 분석결과, 55~64세 남성의 취업률은 1990년대 중반까지 감소하였으나, 그 이후 증가하고 있다. 둘째, 1980~2005년 기간동안 중고령 남성의 취업률은 상태의존성이 강하게 작용하였고, 정적인 기간효과가 나타났다. 공적 연금의 유인효과는 크게 나타나지 않았고, 노동시장의 배출요인이 부적인 영향을 미쳤다. 셋째, 1996~2005년은 노동시장위험완화요인인 임시직 비율이 중고령 남성의 취업률에 기여하였고, 빈곤이 노동의 메커니즘으로 나타났다.

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This study intends to analyze the trend of employment rate of men aged 55~64 in 15 OECD countries from 1980 to 2005. Furthermore, this study means to examine the determinants of men aged 55~64 in 15 OECD countries to support the labor force participation among them. The analysis is based on the data of OECD, ILO and LIS. The analysis method is Arellano and Bond(1981)’s difference GMM which used instrumental variables by dynamic panel model which estimates state dependency of labor market participation and individual panel’s heterogeneity. The main results from this analysis are summarized in three points. First, the employment rates of men aged 55~64 had decreased until the middle of the 1990s, while that has been increasing since 1995. Second, the sate dependency strongly worked in the employment rates of 55~64 men and positive period effect was observed for 1980~2005. This study cannot find the pull effect of public pension, while labor market push effect have negatively affected. Third, temporary work rates had contributed to increase the employment rate of men aged 55~64 for 1996~2005. The poverty has become the mechanism of the labor.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• [요약]
• 1. 서론
• 2. 이론적 배경
• 3. 선행연구
• 4. 연구방법
• 5. 분석결과
• 5. 결론 및 함의
• 참고문헌

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