택지개발 우선순위 결정모형 정립 및 청주시 사례적용 = Priority Decision Model for Residential Development in Cheongju

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Korea's zoning system, which has failed to control the timing and location of development, is not fully equipped for the reasonable land-use, and so results in the haphazard development. The purpose of this thesis is to construct a priority decision model, which can forecast the timing and location of the land development for residential areas, as a part of urban growth management, and to apply the model to Cheongju. The priority decision model for residential areas consists of 5 steps. Step 1 is to estimate the land demand by phase based on the forecasted population and land use density. Step 2 is to extract the available land by subtracting unavailable land for residential development from the total planning area. Step 3 is to subdivide the available land for residential development into the development units(DUs). Step 4 is to designate the priority to each DU, and step 5 is to decide the timing of each DU. In the result of applying the model to Cheongju, the stability of the model is examined by the correlation and sensitivity analysis. Each rank of the DUs is highly correlated at 0.01 significant level, as the correlation coefficient of Kendall's Tau-b is 0.843 and the coefficient of Spearman is 0.964 in Cheongju.