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    옵션가격결정이론에 기반한 실물자산의 투자시기 결정 - 부동산투자신탁회사(REITs)를 중심으로 - = Time to Invest in Real Asset with Option Pricing Theory - Focused on REITs -

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    https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A100926921

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    다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract) kakao i 다국어 번역

    A firm decides to go to the project based on its investment analysis. However, the cash flows generated from the real project can not be always coincident with what expected as it follows uncertain behavior and the asymmetric payoff caused by the managerial flexibilities involved in the real asset affects the project value. Amongst various managerial flexibilities entailed in most of the real assets, although investment delay has been known to enhance the project value thanks to its ability to provide new market information to management, the related research to select the time to invest have been just few. Therefore, this research aims to show the theoretical framework to decide when to invest reflecting the behaviors of increasing project value and loss recovery cost due to investment delay with option pricing, related financial economic, and variational theories.
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    A firm decides to go to the project based on its investment analysis. However, the cash flows generated from the real project can not be always coincident with what expected as it follows uncertain behavior and the asymmetric payoff caused by the mana...

    A firm decides to go to the project based on its investment analysis. However, the cash flows generated from the real project can not be always coincident with what expected as it follows uncertain behavior and the asymmetric payoff caused by the managerial flexibilities involved in the real asset affects the project value. Amongst various managerial flexibilities entailed in most of the real assets, although investment delay has been known to enhance the project value thanks to its ability to provide new market information to management, the related research to select the time to invest have been just few. Therefore, this research aims to show the theoretical framework to decide when to invest reflecting the behaviors of increasing project value and loss recovery cost due to investment delay with option pricing, related financial economic, and variational theories.

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    참고문헌 (Reference)

    1 Luehrman, T, "What's it worth? a general managers guide to valuation" 75 (75): 132-142, 1997

    2 Rockafellar, R. T, "Variational Analysis" Springer 1998

    3 Smith, J. E, "Valuing oil properties: integrating option pricing and decision analysis approaches" 46 (46): 198-217, 1998

    4 MacDonald, R, "The value of waiting to invest" 101 (101): 707-727, 1986

    5 Kelly, M, "The value of the option to wait and see" 36 : 147-151, 1991

    6 Black, F, "The pricing of options and corporate liabilities" 81 : 637-654, 1973

    7 Bowen, M. G, "The escalation phenomenon reconsidered: decision dilemmas or decision errors?" 12 : 52-66, 1987

    8 Davidson, P, "The elephant and the butterfly: or hysteresis and post keynesian economics" 15 (15): 309-321, 1993

    9 Katzner, D. W, "Some notes on the role of history and the definition of hysteresis and related concepts in economic analysis" 15 (15): 323-345, 1993

    10 Boer, F. P, "Risk-adjusted valuation of R&D projects"

    1 Luehrman, T, "What's it worth? a general managers guide to valuation" 75 (75): 132-142, 1997

    2 Rockafellar, R. T, "Variational Analysis" Springer 1998

    3 Smith, J. E, "Valuing oil properties: integrating option pricing and decision analysis approaches" 46 (46): 198-217, 1998

    4 MacDonald, R, "The value of waiting to invest" 101 (101): 707-727, 1986

    5 Kelly, M, "The value of the option to wait and see" 36 : 147-151, 1991

    6 Black, F, "The pricing of options and corporate liabilities" 81 : 637-654, 1973

    7 Bowen, M. G, "The escalation phenomenon reconsidered: decision dilemmas or decision errors?" 12 : 52-66, 1987

    8 Davidson, P, "The elephant and the butterfly: or hysteresis and post keynesian economics" 15 (15): 309-321, 1993

    9 Katzner, D. W, "Some notes on the role of history and the definition of hysteresis and related concepts in economic analysis" 15 (15): 323-345, 1993

    10 Boer, F. P, "Risk-adjusted valuation of R&D projects"

    11 Mello, A. S, "Real options with market risks and private risks" 15 (15): 89-101, 2003

    12 Amram, M, "Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World" Harvard Business School Press 1999

    13 Trigeorgis, L, "Real Options-Managerial Flexibility and Strategy in Resource Allocation" The MIT Press 1999

    14 Moon, J, "Real Options Analysis: Tools and Techniques for Valuing Strategic Investments and Decision" John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2002

    15 Marshall, A, "Principles of Economics, 8th ed" The Macmillan Press 1949

    16 Pindyck, R. S, "Irreversibility, uncertainty, and investment" 29 (29): 1110-1148, 1991

    17 Dixit, A. K, "Investment under Uncertainty" Princeton Univ. Press 1994

    18 Dixit, A. K., "Investment and hysteresis" 6 (6): 107-132, 1992

    19 Cross. R, "Hysteresis and post keynesian economics" 15 (15): 305-308, 1993

    20 Brigham, E. F, "Fundamentals of Financial Management, 10thed" Thomson South- Western 2004

    21 Myers, S. C, "Finance theory and financial strategy" 14 (14): 126-137, 1984

    22 Park, C. S, "Exploiting uncertainty-investment opportunities as real options: a new way of thinking in engineering economics" 45 (45): 1-36, 2000

    23 Dixit, A. K, "Entry and exit decisions under uncertainty" 97 : 620-638, 1989

    24 Myers, S. C, "Determinants of corporate borrowing" 5 : 147-175, 1977

    25 Miller, L. T, "Decision making under uncertainty-real options to the rescue" 47 (47): 105-150, 2002

    26 Yao, J, "Combining real options and decision tree: an integrative approach for project investment decisions and risk management" 53-69, 2003

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    학술지 이력

    학술지 이력
    연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
    2027 평가 재인증평가 신청대상 (재인증)
    2021-01-01 등재 등재학술지 유지 (재인증) KCI등재
    2018-01-01 등재 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
    2015-01-01 등재 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
    2011-01-01 등재 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
    2009-01-01 등재 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
    2008-12-23 학술지명변경 한글명 : 건설관리 -> 한국건설관리학회 논문집 KCI등재
    2006-01-01 등재 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
    2005-01-01 등재 등재후보 1차 PASS (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
    2003-01-01 등재 등재후보학술지 선정 (신규평가) KCI등재후보
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    학술지 인용정보

    학술지 인용정보
    기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
    2016 0.54 0.54 0.54
    KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
    0.53 0.5 0.772 0.22
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