Decision making : descriptive, normative, and prescriptive interactions

목차 (Table of Contents)

• CONTENTS
• Preface = ⅸ
• Introduction = 1
• Ⅰ OVERVIEW PAPER
• 1 DESCRIPTIVE, NORMATIVE, AND PRESCRIPTIVE INTERACTIONS IN DECISION MAKING / David E. Bell ; Howard Raiffa ; Amos Tversky = 9
• Ⅱ CONCEPTIONS OF CHOICE
• 2 BOUNDED RATIONALLTY, AMBIGUITY, AND THE ENGINEERING OF CHOICE / James G. March = 33
• 3 RATIONALITY AS PROCESS AND AS PRODUCT OF THOUGHT / Hervert A. Simon = 58
• 4 NORMATIVE THEORIES OF DECISION MAKING UNDER RISK AND UNDER UNCERTAINTY / P. C. Fishburn = 78
• 5 RISKY CHOICE REVISITED / David E. Bell ; Howard Raiffa = 99
• 6 BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY : PROCESSES OF JUDGMENT AND CHOICE / Hillel J. Einhorn and Robin M. Hogarth = 113
• 7 REPLY TO COMMENTARIES / Hillel J. Einhorn ; Robin M. Hogarth = 147
• 8 RESPONSE MODE, FRAMING, AND INFORMATION-PROCESSING EFFECTS IN RISK ASSESSMENT / Paul Slovic ; Baruch Fischhoff ; Sarah Lichtenstein = 152
• 9 RATILNAL CHOICE AND THE FRAMING OF DECISIONS / Amos Tversky ; Daniel Kahneman = 167
• 10 SAVAGE REVISITED / Glenn Shafer = 193
• Ⅲ BELIEFS AND JUDGMENTS ABOUT UNCERTAINTIES
• 11 LANGUAGES AND DESIGNS FOR PROBABILITY JUDGEMENT / Glenn Shafer ; Amos Tversky = 237
• 12 UPDATING SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY / Persi Diaconis ; Sandy L. Zabell = 266
• 13 PROBABILITY, EVIDENCE, AND JUDGMENT / A. P. Dempster = 284
• 14 THE EFFECTS OF STATISTICAL TRAINING ON THINKING ABOUT EVERYDAY PROBLEMS / Geoffrey T. Fong ; David H. Krantz ; Richard E. Nisbett = 299
• Ⅳ VALUES AND UTILITIES
• 15 THE MIND AS A CONSUMING ORGAN / T. C. Schelling = 343
• 16 DISAPPOINTMENT IN DECISION MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY / David E. Bell = 358
• 17 MARGINAL VALUE AND INTRINSIC RISK AVERSION / David E. Bell ; Howard Raiffa = 384
• 18 KNOWING WHAT YOU WANT : MEASURING LABILE VALUES / Baruch Fischhoff ; Paul Slovic ; Sarah Lichtenstein = 398
• 19 SOURCES OF BIAS IN ASSESSMENT PROCEDURES FOR UTILITY FUNCTIONS / John C. Hershey ; Howard C. Kunreuther ; Paul J. H. Schoemaker = 422
• 20 SIMPLICITY IN DECISION ANALYSIS : AN EXAMPLE AND DISCUSSION / Ward Edwards ; Detlof von Winterfeldt ; David L. Moody = 443
• 21 VALUE-FOCUSED THINKING AND THE STUDY OF VALUES / Ralph L. Keeney = 465
• Ⅴ AREAS OF APPLICATION
• 22 BEHAVIOR UNDER UNCERTAINTY AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR POLICY / Kenneth J. Arrow = 497
• 23 THE RELEVANCE OF QUASI RATIONALITY IN COMPETITIVE MARKETS / Thomas Russell ; Richard Thaler = 508
• 24 HOW SENIOR MANAGERS THINK / Daniel J. Isenberg = 525
• 25 PROBLEMS IN PRODUCING USABLE KNOWLEDGE FOR IMPLEMENTING LIBERATING ALTERNATIVES / Chris Argyris = 540
• 26 ON THE FRAMING OF MEDICAL DECISIONS / Barbara J. McNeil ; Stephen G. Pauker ; Amos Tversky = 562
• 27 WHETHER OR NOT TO ADMINISTER AMPHOTERICIN TO ANIMMUNOSUPPRESSED PATIENT WITH HEMATOLOGIC MALIGNANCY AND UNDIAGNOSED FEVER / Jonathan E. Gottlieb ; Stephen G. Pauker = 569
• 28 THE EFFECT OF PRIVATE ATTITUDES ON PUBLIC POLICY : PRENATAL SCREENING FOR NEURAL TUBE DEFFCTS AS A PROTOTYPE / Stephen G. Pauker ; Susan P. Pauker ; Barbara J. McNeil = 588
• 29 DISCUSSION AGENDA FOR THE SESSION ON MEDICAL DECISION MAKING and MINUTES OF A GROUP DISCUSSION ON CLINICAL DECISION MAKING (Discussion rapporteur Robert J.Quinn) / Milton C. Weinstein (moderator) ; Harvey V. Fineberg ; Barbara J. McNeil ; Stephen G. Pauker = 599
• Index = 613