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    CGE모형을 이용한 WTO의 비농산물 시장접근 협상이 자동차 산업에 미치는 영향 분석 = NAMA Negotiations in the WTO and Its Impact on Automotive Industry:A CGE Approach

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    https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A104345017

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    다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract) kakao i 다국어 번역

    This study aims to quantify the potential economic effects of Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA) negotiations of the WTO on the economies of major automobile manufacturing countries including Korea as a whole as well as on their automotive industry using a multi-region, multi-sector Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model with 14 countries/regions and 12 sectors. Three different scenarios of tariff liberalization of NAMA are conducted on the basis of a Swiss formula with coefficient of 10 for all countries (scenario 1), of 15 for all countries (scenario 2) and of 10 for developed countries and 15 for developing countries (scenario 3). Simulation results show that Korea will be one of the winners of tariff liberalization of NAMA in the WTO and that Korean automotive industry will benefit from it to a large extent in terms of its output, domestic sales, exports and trade balance, which implies that Korea needs to actively engage in NAMA negotiations of the WTO.
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    This study aims to quantify the potential economic effects of Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA) negotiations of the WTO on the economies of major automobile manufacturing countries including Korea as a whole as well as on their automotive industry...

    This study aims to quantify the potential economic effects of Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA) negotiations of the WTO on the economies of major automobile manufacturing countries including Korea as a whole as well as on their automotive industry using a multi-region, multi-sector Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model with 14 countries/regions and 12 sectors. Three different scenarios of tariff liberalization of NAMA are conducted on the basis of a Swiss formula with coefficient of 10 for all countries (scenario 1), of 15 for all countries (scenario 2) and of 10 for developed countries and 15 for developing countries (scenario 3). Simulation results show that Korea will be one of the winners of tariff liberalization of NAMA in the WTO and that Korean automotive industry will benefit from it to a large extent in terms of its output, domestic sales, exports and trade balance, which implies that Korea needs to actively engage in NAMA negotiations of the WTO.

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    국문 초록 (Abstract) kakao i 다국어 번역

    CGE모형을 이용한 WTO의 비농산물 시장접근 협상이 자동차 산업에 미치는 영향 분석

    CGE모형을 이용한 WTO의 비농산물 시장접근 협상이 자동차 산업에 미치는 영향 분석

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    참고문헌 (Reference)

    1 Ko, J.-H, "Őkonomische Analyse von Energie- und Volkswirtschaft auf der Basis allgemeiner Gleichgewichtsmodelle, Europäische Hochschulschriften," Verlag Peter Lang:Frankfurt/Wien/Paris/New York. 1993

    2 Ko, J.-H, "Why Not a Free Trade Agreement between Asia and Europe at the ASEM Level?" (13) : 134-161, 2001

    3 Ko, J.-H, "Trade Liberalization and Business Facilitation in APEC and Its Economic Effects:A CGE Approach," 10 (10): 11-39, 2006

    4 Deardorff, A. V, "The Michigan Model of World Production and Trade" Cambridge, Mass 1986

    5 Baldwin, R. E, "The Growth Effect of 1992," (9) : 247-281, 1989

    6 Center for Global Trade Analysis, "The GTAP 6 Data Base" Purdue University. 2004

    7 "Organisation Internationales des Constructeurs d’Automobiles"

    8 Park, S.-C, "Modalities in the DDA Negotiations and the Automotive Industries(in Korea)," (32) : 125-140, 2005

    9 WTO, "Ministerial Declaration of the Sixth WTO Ministerial Conference"

    10 Baldwin, R. E, "Measurable Dynamic Gains from Trade" (100) : 162-174, 1992

    1 Ko, J.-H, "Őkonomische Analyse von Energie- und Volkswirtschaft auf der Basis allgemeiner Gleichgewichtsmodelle, Europäische Hochschulschriften," Verlag Peter Lang:Frankfurt/Wien/Paris/New York. 1993

    2 Ko, J.-H, "Why Not a Free Trade Agreement between Asia and Europe at the ASEM Level?" (13) : 134-161, 2001

    3 Ko, J.-H, "Trade Liberalization and Business Facilitation in APEC and Its Economic Effects:A CGE Approach," 10 (10): 11-39, 2006

    4 Deardorff, A. V, "The Michigan Model of World Production and Trade" Cambridge, Mass 1986

    5 Baldwin, R. E, "The Growth Effect of 1992," (9) : 247-281, 1989

    6 Center for Global Trade Analysis, "The GTAP 6 Data Base" Purdue University. 2004

    7 "Organisation Internationales des Constructeurs d’Automobiles"

    8 Park, S.-C, "Modalities in the DDA Negotiations and the Automotive Industries(in Korea)," (32) : 125-140, 2005

    9 WTO, "Ministerial Declaration of the Sixth WTO Ministerial Conference"

    10 Baldwin, R. E, "Measurable Dynamic Gains from Trade" (100) : 162-174, 1992

    11 Hertel, T. W., "Global Trade Analysis:Modeling and Applications," Cambridge University Press 1997

    12 Ko, J.-H, "General Equilibrium Analysis of Trade Liberalization in the Pacific Rim Countries in the Era of the WTO," (1) : 125-156, 1994

    13 Devarajan, S, "From Stylized to Applied Models:Building Multisector CGE Models for Policy Analysis" Unpublished Paper. 1991

    14 Ko, J.-H, "Economic Effects of Trade Liberalization between Asia and Europe:An Applied General Equilibrium Analysis," (16) : 117-132, 1997

    15 고종환, "Eastern Enlargement of the EU and Korean Economy" 국제지역학회 8 (8): 471-490, 2004

    16 Ko, J.-H., "Eastern Enlargement of the EU and Its Economic Impact on the Enlarged EU and East Asia: A CGE Approach, Paper presented at International Conference on “International Trade and Logistics, Corporate Strategies and the Global Economy”, held at the University of Le Havre, France, 28-29 September."

    17 Ko, J.-H, "Analysis of the Effects of Trade Policy under the WTO using a Computable General Equilibrium Model (in Korean)" 5 (5): 263-288, 1996

    18 Ko, J.-H, "Analysis of Economic Effects of a Free Trade Agreement among Korea, China and Japan," 4 (4): 177-209, 2000

    19 Joo, M.-B., "An Analysis of the Impact of Multilateral Tariff Cutting Formulae on the Reduction of Tariff Rates on Fisheries Products (in Korean)," 16 (16): 217-240, 2001

    20 Heydon, Ken, "After the WTO Hong Kong Ministerial Meeting:What is at stake?" OECD Trade Policy Working Paper No. 27

    21 Armington, P. S, "A Theory of Demand for Products Distinguished by Place of Production," 16 (16): 159-178, 1969

    22 Ko, J.-H., "A Korea-Singapore Free Trade Area and Analysis of its Economic Impact using a CGE Mode" Economic Integration and Multinational Investment Behavior, Edward Elgar. 2004

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