중국의 남중국해 분쟁 요인 분석 : 미어셰이머의 공격적 현실주의 적용

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This study aims to analyze the determinants of China’s aggressive attitude in the South China Sea conflict through Mearsheimer’s Offensive Realism. China has already emerged as a new great power in East Asia, China has raised its own voice in the international society through the enhancement of military capabilities along with rapid economic growth. In particular, China has sharply taken a aggressive stance in the South China Sea where territorial conflicts are seriously opposed China, indeed, China’s aggressive behavior in the region is a background of the “China threat” phenomenon. From the view of Offensive Realism, China’s active strategies in the region highly provoke to the anxiety of the United States. The respondence is the ‘Pivot to Asia’ policy of the United States that the core is focused on actions to improve its military power projection capability and strengthen the alliances led by the United States in the Asia-Pacific region, no doubt to maintain its hegemonic position against China. This thesis consists of three parts. First of all, the strategic attitudes of China and the United States will be analyzed. Secondary, I discuss why China takes an offensive stance in South China Sea conflicts with the three factors of Mearsheimer’s Offensive Realism hypothesis: ① structural factor of international system ② factor of state action ③ factor of among nations. Finally, I will argue China’s hegemony-seeking is the causes of the territorial conflicts in the South China Sea. China will be a regional hegemonic power basis on its huge economic and military capabilities in the future as the Offensive Realism has been mentioned. Although China wants to avoid a direct military clash with the United States, but the conflict between China and Southeast Asian countries will be continued in the South China Sea beyond the Sino-U.S. relations.

Keywords: Conflict, Offensive Realism, Sino-U.S. relations, Hegemony

목차 (Table of Contents)

• I. 서론 1
• 1. 연구의 목적 1
• 2. 연구방법 및 범위 7
• 3. 선행연구의 검토 9
• II. 공격적 현실주의와 남중국해의 중미간 패권전략 11
• 1. 공격적 현실주의의 이론적 구성과 적용 11
• 2. 동남아시아에서의 중미 패권전략 15
• III. 중국의 남중국해 분쟁 요인 분석 22
• 1. 국제체제의 구조적 요인 22
• 2. 국가적 행위 요인 30
• 3. 국가 간의 요인 42
• IV. 결론 54