아파트 밀집지역 급조폭발물 테러 발생 시 잠재피해인구 추정 = Estimation of Potential Population by IED(Improvised Explosive Device) in Intensive Apartment Area

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

In this study, we presented a method for estimating the potential population damage of the Seoul Nowon-gu area in the event of a terrorist using a vehicle improvised explosive devices (IED). Us-ing the object-based building extraction method with orthophoto image, the area of the apartment has been determined, and the apartment’s height and level were estimated based on the elevation data. Using the population estimation method based on total floor area of building, each apartment resident population was estimated, and then potential population damage at the time of terrorist attacks was estimated around the subway station through a scenario analysis. Terrorism damage using IED depends on the type of vehicle greatly because of the amount loadable explosives. Therefore, potential population damage was calculated based on the type of vehicle. In the results, the maximum potential damage population during terrorist attacks has been estimated to occur around Madeul station, Nowon-gu. The method used in this study can be used various population estimation research and disaster damage estimation.

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