Bayesian 意思決定理論

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Top management should perform the most suitable decision making for the existence and it's growth not only multilateral enterprise competition, but in any condition.
What is most difficult is the decision making under any uncertain situation or dangerous condition and in that case if we introduce concept of probability originated from Bayesian's theory which has the basis in Bayes' theory, it reflects the subjective judgement for the situation and it can minimize the opportunity loss generated from the decision making.
Thus, the researcher of this thesis has made effort to find out how the Bayes' theory is to be made use of decision making and neverthless how the subjective judgement be reflected, showing some examples.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 序言
• Ⅱ. Bayesian 意思決定論
• 1. Bayes' 定理
• 2. 最適意思決定
• 3. Bayesian 推定
• 4. Bayesian 檢定
• Ⅲ. 逐次的 意思決定 過程
• Ⅳ. 結語